4-5 · 2-4 ACC · ATS 4-4-1
Florida State
4-5
Kickoff in9:40:01
7:00 PM ET · ESPN · Acrisure Stadium
6-3 · 3-3 ACC · ATS 5-4
Pittsburgh
6-3
7:00 PM ET · ESPN · Acrisure Stadium
39° · 7 mph NW · 4% rain
- Spread
- PITT −3.5PITT −3.5
- ▼ 1 · SUN 8:11P▼ 1 · SUN 8:11P
- Total
- 52.552.5
- Model 55.1Model 55.1
- Model lineModel
- PITT −4.1−4.1
- Model total 55.1PITTModel edge 0.6 pts on PITT vs the consensus now
- Win probability
- 60%60%
- was 60 · weekly runwas 60 · weekly run
- At kickoff
- 39°39°
- 7 mph NW · 4% rain7 mph NW · 4% rain
- Projected plays
- 136136
- FBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/playFBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/play
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches- 01
The Pittsburgh run defense vs Florida State's run game
Florida State gains +0.13 EPA a play on the run (36th); Pittsburgh allows −0.06 (6th). About 36 such plays projected.
PITT +4.2Model impact - 02
Florida State's passing game vs the Pittsburgh pass defense
Florida State gains +0.17 EPA a play on the pass (40th); Pittsburgh allows +0.11 (73rd). About 32 such plays projected.
FSU +3.6Model impact - 03
The pace fight
PITT snaps every 26.3 s, FSU every 29.0 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 4.1 points. The model projects 136 plays against a 131 average.
O 1.8Total impact
Late news
Auto-updatingNichelson cleared to play
FSU LB · P → AVAILABLE
LaVallee cleared to play
FSU LB · P → AVAILABLE
Kirkland cleared to play
FSU DB · P → AVAILABLE
Ward probable
PITT LB · Q → P
Geriner questionable
PITT QB · AVAILABLE → Q
Lee Jr. probable
PITT DB · Q → P
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