#14 · 7-2 · 4-2 Big 12 · ATS 3-6
Houston
#14 · 7-2
Kickoff in12:55:02
10:15 PM ET · ESPN · Folsom Field
3-6 · 1-5 Big 12 · ATS 2-6-1
Colorado
3-6
10:15 PM ET · ESPN · Folsom Field
47° · 5 mph W · 0% rain
- Spread
- HOU −9.5HOU −9.5
- ▼ 1 · WED 1:37A▼ 1 · WED 1:37A
- Total
- 51.551.5
- Model 53.9Model 53.9
- Model lineModel
- HOU −10.9−10.9
- Model total 53.9HOUModel edge 1.4 pts on HOU vs the consensus now
- Win probability
- 75%75%
- was 75 · weekly runwas 75 · weekly run
- At kickoff
- 47°47°
- 5 mph W · 0% rain5 mph W · 0% rain
- Projected plays
- 136136
- FBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/playFBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/play
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches- 01
Houston's passing game vs the Colorado pass defense
Houston gains +0.36 EPA a play on the pass (4th); Colorado allows +0.17 (101st). About 31 such plays projected.
HOU +14.6Model impact - 02
The Houston run defense vs Colorado's run game
Colorado gains −0.05 EPA a play on the run (130th); Houston allows +0.04 (52nd). About 35 such plays projected.
HOU +7.9Model impact - 03
The Colorado run defense vs Houston's run game
Houston gains +0.15 EPA a play on the run (27th); Colorado allows −0.08 (4th). About 37 such plays projected.
COLO +4.0Model impact
Late news
Auto-updatingArnold doubtful
COLO K · Q → D
Buhake probable
HOU DL · Q → P
HOU availability report
Update 2 · conf:big12
COLO availability report
Update 2 · conf:big12
Taufatofua questionable
COLO DL · D → Q
Wolford ruled out
HOU OL · Q → OUT
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