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PREGAME · FOX · OHIO STADIUM

6-3 · 3-3 Big Ten · ATS 5-4

Northwestern

6-3

Kickoff in26:40:01

12:00 PM ET · FOX · Ohio Stadium

#21 · 6-3 · 4-2 Big Ten · ATS 5-4

Ohio State

#21 · 6-3

12:00 PM ET · FOX · Ohio Stadium

42° · 10 mph NW · 0% rain

Spread
OSU −14OSU −14
▲ 1 · WED 8:21P▲ 1 · WED 8:21P
Total
44.544.5
Model 58.3Model 58.3
Model lineModel
OSU −12.2−12.2
Model total 58.3OSUModel edge 1.8 pts on NU vs the consensus now
Win probability
77%77%
OSUOSU
At kickoff
42°42°
10 mph NW · 0% rain10 mph NW · 0% rain
Projected plays
134134
FBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/playFBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/play

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. 01

    Ohio State's run game vs the Northwestern run defense

    Ohio State gains +0.16 EPA a play on the run (24th); Northwestern allows +0.15 (113th). About 32 such plays projected.

    OSU +7.4Model impact
  2. 02

    Ohio State's passing game vs the Northwestern pass defense

    Ohio State gains +0.28 EPA a play on the pass (10th); Northwestern allows +0.04 (38th). About 34 such plays projected.

    OSU +6.1Model impact
  3. 03

    Northwestern's run game vs the Ohio State run defense

    Northwestern gains +0.20 EPA a play on the run (7th); Ohio State allows +0.01 (31st). About 36 such plays projected.

    NU +2.9Model impact

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Lewis ruled out

    NU DB · AVAILABLE → OUT

  2. Inniss cleared to play

    OSU WR · Q → AVAILABLE

  3. Sitanilei questionable

    OSU EDGE · AVAILABLE → Q

  4. Montgomery questionable

    OSU OL · AVAILABLE → Q

  5. NU availability report

    Update 1 · conf:bigten

  6. OSU availability report

    Update 1 · conf:bigten

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