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PREGAME · ACC NETWORK · CARTER-FINLEY STADIUM

4-5 · 2-5 ACC · ATS 5-4

Syracuse

4-5

Kickoff in26:40:01

12:00 PM ET · ACC Network · Carter-Finley Stadium

4-5 · 2-4 ACC · ATS 3-6

NC State

4-5

12:00 PM ET · ACC Network · Carter-Finley Stadium

52° · 10 mph NW · 0% rain

Spread
SYR −2.5SYR −2.5
  
Total
53.553.5
Model 57.9Model 57.9
Model lineModel
NCSU −1.6−1.6
Model total 57.9NCSUModel edge 4.1 pts on NCSU vs the consensus now
Win probability
54%54%
was 54 · weekly runwas 54 · weekly run
At kickoff
52°52°
10 mph NW · 0% rain10 mph NW · 0% rain
Projected plays
145145
FBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/playFBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/play

Where the model sees the game

Largest unit mismatches
  1. 01

    The pace fight

    NCSU snaps every 31.2 s, SYR every 25.4 s in neutral situations. Each extra 10 plays moves the total about 4.0 points. The model projects 145 plays against a 131 average.

    O 5.6Total impact
  2. 02

    Syracuse's run game vs the NC State run defense

    Syracuse gains +0.07 EPA a play on the run (71st); NC State allows +0.17 (122nd). About 35 such plays projected.

    SYR +4.3Model impact
  3. 03

    Syracuse's passing game vs the NC State pass defense

    Syracuse gains +0.10 EPA a play on the pass (67th); NC State allows +0.18 (109th). About 38 such plays projected.

    SYR +4.2Model impact

Late news

Auto-updating
  1. Cruz ruled out

    NCSU OL · Q → OUT

  2. Sensabaugh questionable

    NCSU CB · P → Q

  3. Vinesett cleared to play

    NCSU K · P → AVAILABLE

  4. Jackson probable

    NCSU WR · Q → P

  5. Andersen cleared to play

    NCSU OL · P → AVAILABLE

  6. Vaughn cleared to play

    NCSU TE · P → AVAILABLE

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