SEC · #13 AP · 5-2 · 3-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
Alabama Crimson Tide
HC Kalen DeBoer (3rd yr) · OC Ryan Grubb · DC Kane Wommack
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 7) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 89%
Power rating17.94th
CFP odds53%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→BUBBLE
Proj. wins8.9of 12
Fan pulse−12▲9
SEC · #13 AP · 5-2 · 3-2 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
Alabama
Crimson Tide · HC Kalen DeBoer (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 7) · base D 3-3-5
Power rating17.94th
CFP odds · outlook53%—BUBBLE→BUBBLE
Proj. wins8.9of 12
Fan pulse−12▲9
Alabama
#13 · 5-2 · 3-2 SEC
POWER RATING17.94th in FBS
CFP ODDS53%no change
PROJ. WINS8.9of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→BUBBLE
2 losses now · CFP 53% in sims · CCG 22% · title 13%
FAN PULSE−12▲9
61 pts below the model ·Coverage →
RECORD5-2
ATS · O/U4-3 · 5-2
POSTGAME WE · AVG73%5.1 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.316th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   East CarolinaEast Carolina | W48–10 | −28.5−28.5 | W | +0.65 | 59% | 29% | 98% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.65 · SR 59% · O 52.5WE 98% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Kentuckyat Kentucky | W45–17 | −9−9 | W | +0.48 | 47% | 31% | 96% | O 47.5 | — | |
EPA +0.48 · SR 47% · O 47.5WE 96% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   Florida StateFlorida State | W50–36 | −18.5−18.5 | L | +0.36 | 50% | 41% | 81% | O 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.36 · SR 50% · O 50.5WE 81% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   South CarolinaSouth Carolina | W49–18 | −12.5−12.5 | W | +0.59 | 49% | 35% | 97% | O 53.5 | — | |
EPA +0.59 · SR 49% · O 53.5WE 97% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Mississippi Stateat Mississippi State | W56–23 | −5.5−5.5 | W | +0.66 | 57% | 36% | 94% | O 62 | — | |
EPA +0.66 · SR 57% · O 62WE 94% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   GeorgiaGeorgia | L17–20 | −2.5−2.5 | L | −0.14 | 45% | 43% | 33% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA −0.14 · SR 45% · U 51.5WE 33% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at Tennesseeat Tennessee | L10–26 | −7.5−7.5 | L | −0.31 | 30% | 47% | 14% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA −0.31 · SR 30% · U 50.5WE 14% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   Texas A&MTexas A&MNEXT | SAT 3:30 ABCSAT 3:30 | −13.5−13.5 | — | — | — | — | 81% | 50.5 | −14.7 | |
MODEL −14.7 · TOTAL 50.5WP 81% | |||||||||||
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   at LSUat LSU | NOV 7NOV 7 | —+1.4 | 47% | +1.4 | ||||||
MODEL +1.4WP 47% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Vanderbiltat Vanderbilt | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−17.2 | 85% | −17.2 | ||||||
MODEL −17.2WP 85% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   ChattanoogaChattanooga | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−42 | 99% | −42 | ||||||
MODEL −42WP 99% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   AuburnAuburn | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−14.2 | 80% | −14.2 | ||||||
MODEL −14.2WP 80% | |||||||||||