Sun Belt · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
Arkansas State Red Wolves
HC Butch Jones (6th yr) · OC Garrett Altman · DC Griff McCarley
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 96%
Power rating−6.4103rd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.5of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
Sun Belt · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
Arkansas State
Red Wolves · HC Butch Jones (6th yr) · starts in 12 (4 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating−6.4103rd
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.5of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
Arkansas State
3-4 · 1-2 Sun Belt
POWER RATING−6.4103rd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS5.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 2% · title 0%
FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored
RECORD3-4
ATS · O/U3-4 · 3-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG48%3.3 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.1097th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Memphisat Memphis | L24–42 | +10.5+10.5 | L | −0.28 | 52% | 50% | 17% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA −0.28 · SR 52% · O 52.5WE 17% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   West GeorgiaWest Georgia | W52–7 | −31.5−31.5 | W | +0.65 | 61% | 32% | 99% | O 56.5 | — | |
EPA +0.65 · SR 61% · O 56.5WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at TCUat TCU | L7–31 | +19+19 | L | −0.49 | 33% | 46% | 6% | U 56.5 | — | |
EPA −0.49 · SR 33% · U 56.5WE 6% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   Kennesaw StateKennesaw State | W17–14 | −6.5−6.5 | L | +0.17 | 48% | 48% | 60% | U 53.5 | — | |
EPA +0.17 · SR 48% · U 53.5WE 60% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Louisianaat Louisiana | L20–23 | +5.5+5.5 | W | −0.11 | 43% | 56% | 43% | U 49 | — | |
EPA −0.11 · SR 43% · U 49WE 43% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   South AlabamaSouth Alabama | L49–56 | −3−3 | L | −0.12 | 64% | 49% | 36% | O 60.5 | — | |
EPA −0.12 · SR 64% · O 60.5WE 36% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at Southern Missat Southern Miss | W23–13 | −5.5−5.5 | W | +0.12 | 37% | 32% | 72% | U 61.5 | — | |
EPA +0.12 · SR 37% · U 61.5WE 72% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   Georgia StateGeorgia StateNEXT | SAT 7:00 ESPN+SAT 7:00 | +2.5+2.5 | — | — | — | — | 47% | 58.5 | +1.1 | |
MODEL +1.1 · TOTAL 58.5WP 47% | |||||||||||
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   UL MonroeUL Monroe | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−11.5 | 76% | −11.5 | ||||||
MODEL −11.5WP 76% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Coastal Carolinaat Coastal Carolina | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+2.3 | 44% | +2.3 | ||||||
MODEL +2.3WP 44% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Louisiana Techat Louisiana Tech | NOV 21NOV 21 | —+9.7 | 28% | +9.7 | ||||||
MODEL +9.7WP 28% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   TroyTroy | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−1.9 | 55% | −1.9 | ||||||
MODEL −1.9WP 55% | |||||||||||