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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

American · 5-2 · 4-1 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 5-2

Army Black Knights

HC Jeff Monken (13th yr) · OC Cody Worley · DC Daryl Dixon

STARTS IN 31 PERSONNEL (7 OF 7) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 62%

Power rating0.467th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.7of 12
Fan pulse—10 of 30 scored

American · 5-2 · 4-1 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 5-2

Army

Black Knights · HC Jeff Monken (13th yr) · starts in 31 (7 of 7) · base D 3-3-5

Power rating0.467th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.7of 12
Fan pulse—10 of 30 scored

Army

5-2 · 4-1 American

POWER RATING0.467th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS7.7of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT

2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 33% · title 13%

FAN PULSE—10 of 30 scored

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ARMY · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Army schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1BryantBryantW59–3−37.5−37.5W+0.8366%31%100%6930.9
2South FloridaSouth FloridaL24–28−3−3L−0.2152%55%40%6237.0
3BYE
4at Templeat TempleW21–17−4−4P0.0051%48%61%6134.9
5at Louisiana Techat Louisiana TechL29–31+0.5+0.5L−0.1547%51%55%7014.0
6TulaneTulaneW20–17−5.5−5.5L+0.1550%31%58%6416.3
7Florida AtlanticFlorida AtlanticW56–24−2.5−2.5W+0.2359%60%95%6232.5
8at Tulsaat TulsaW38–35−1.5−1.5W———46%——
9at Memphisat MemphisNEXTSAT 8:00 ESPNUSAT 8:00+6.3 proj+6.3————35%——
10Air ForceAir ForceNOV 7NOV 7−2.2 proj−2.255%
11BYE
12East CarolinaEast CarolinaNOV 21NOV 21−3.5 proj−3.558%
13at Riceat RiceNOV 28NOV 28−9.8 proj−9.872%
14BYE
15vs Navy · East Rutherfordvs NavyDEC 12DEC 12−0.1 proj−0.150%

Success rate by down & distance

1st75%n 457%n 746%n 15614%n 7
2nd84%n 2559%n 4442%n 5736%n 14
3rd80%n 3036%n 2233%n 1810%n 10
4th90%n 1067%n 3100%n 10%n 1

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 407 OF 409 PLAYS407 OF 409 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun62%62%23%+0.2948%
Under center38%38%9%+0.2655%
No-huddle6%6%31%−0.0242%
Huddle94%94%17%+0.3051%
StartersSTARTERS
317 of 7 gamesBASE D3-3-57 of 7
317 of 73-3-5base D · 7 of 7

In shotgun on 62 % of tagged snaps, passing 23 % of the time (+0.29 EPA a play; +0.26 under center). No-huddle on 6 %. Starts in 31 personnel in 7 of 7 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (7 of 7).

Next game

SAT 8:00 ESPNU · SIMMONS BANK LIBERTY STADIUMSAT 8:00 ESPNU

at MemphisLINE—MODEL+6.3WP35%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
American crews−0.5 to +0.5 · 27 games0.0−0.5 to +0.527NOISE
ACC crews−0.4 to +0.7 · 17 games+0.2−0.4 to +0.717NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 4 games−0.3—4NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 3 games−0.4—3NOISE
SEC crews— · 2 games−1.9—2NOISE
Independent crews— · 1 game+0.5—1NOISE
MAC crews— · 1 game−0.5—1NOISE
Mountain West crews— · 1 game+0.6—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTSteven Anderson−0.9 / g · 3 games · noise−0.9 / g · 3 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTMarcus Woods+3.2 / g · 4 games · noise+3.2 / g · 4 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Army than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Army than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Army offense statistics
MetricStat
ArmyARMY
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.2117th+0.06
Success rate48.7%10th42.3%
Explosiveness1.18136th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.231st+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.1354th+0.11
Passing downs SR32.3%42nd31.1%
Line yards3.698th3.21
Sack rate allowed3.5%36th5.3%
3rd-down conversion52%14th41%
Points / opportunity4.9031st4.27
Red zone TD rate76%14th63%
Seconds / play32.4134th28.0