MAC · 2-5 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 5-2
Bowling Green Falcons
HC Eddie George (2nd yr) · OC Greg Nosal · DC Joe Bowden
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (5 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 74%
MAC · 2-5 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 5-2
Bowling Green
Falcons · HC Eddie George (2nd yr) · starts in 12 (5 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Bowling Green
2-5 · 2-1 MAC
5 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 3% · title 1%
Latest from the beat
BOWLING GREEN · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tarleton StateTarleton State | L13–20 | −2−2 | L | −0.21 | 37% | 40% | 35% | 65 | 31.4 | |
| 2 |   at Nebraskaat Nebraska | L7–56 | +30.5+30.5 | L | −1.26 | 24% | 60% | 1% | 48 | 33.2 | |
| 3 |   at Iowa Stateat Iowa State | L7–55 | +23+23 | L | −0.79 | 32% | 59% | 0% | 51 | 34.4 | |
| 4 |   South FloridaSouth Florida | L6–14 | +18+18 | W | −0.16 | 33% | 49% | 28% | 61 | 31.8 | |
| 5 |   at Miami (OH)at Miami (OH) | W24–20 | +11.5+11.5 | W | +0.24 | 50% | 37% | 59% | 58 | 28.6 | |
| 6 |   Sacramento StateSacramento State | W38–10 | −9.5−9.5 | W | +0.43 | 48% | 40% | 94% | 58 | 34.3 | |
| 7 |   Ball StateBall State | L31–32 | −6−6 | L | −0.05 | 45% | 55% | 52% | 58 | 32.6 | |
| 8 |   at Buffaloat BuffaloNEXT | SAT 3:30 ESPN+SAT 3:30 | +3+3 | — | — | — | — | 39% | 131 | — | |
| 9 |   at Western Michiganat Western Michigan | OCT 31OCT 31 | +13.8 proj+13.8 | 20% | |||||||
| 10 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 11 |   Kent StateKent State | NOV 10NOV 10 | −2.2 proj−2.2 | 55% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Toledoat Toledo | NOV 20NOV 20 | +17.8 proj+17.8 | 14% | |||||||
| 13 |   MassachusettsMassachusetts | NOV 28NOV 28 | +2.9 proj+2.9 | 43% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 342 OF 342 PLAYS342 OF 342 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun74% | 74% | 59% | −0.10 | 39% |
| Under center26% | 26% | 18% | −0.01 | 44% |
| No-huddle11% | 11% | 44% | −0.35 | 33% |
| Huddle89% | 89% | 49% | −0.04 | 41% |
In shotgun on 74 % of tagged snaps, passing 59 % of the time (−0.10 EPA a play; −0.01 under center). No-huddle on 11 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 5 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (5 of 7).
Next game
SAT 3:30 ESPN+ · UB STADIUMSAT 3:30 ESPN+
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAC crews−0.5 to +0.4 · 40 games | −0.1 | −0.5 to +0.4 | 40 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 4 games | −1.5 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 2 games | +4.2 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 2 games | +0.7 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 2 games | +0.9 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 2 games | +0.1 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 2 games | +0.1 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 1 game | +0.8 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 1 game | −2.2 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Bowling Green than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Bowling Green than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Bowling GreenBGSU | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | −0.10 | 130th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 38.7% | 114th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.19 | 135th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | −0.09 | 137th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.04 | 103rd | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 27.6% | 121st | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 2.63 | 132nd | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 4.8% | 61st | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40% | 71st | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 3.11 | 128th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 57% | 97th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 31.8 | 131st | 28.0 |