MAC · 2-5 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 5-2
Bowling Green Falcons
HC Eddie George (2nd yr) · OC Greg Nosal · DC Joe Bowden
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (5 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 74%
Power rating−12.8131st
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins3.7of 12
Fan pulse—4 of 30 scored
MAC · 2-5 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 5-2
Bowling Green
Falcons · HC Eddie George (2nd yr) · starts in 12 (5 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating−12.8131st
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins3.7of 12
Fan pulse—4 of 30 scored
Bowling Green
2-5 · 2-1 MAC
POWER RATING−12.8131st in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS3.7of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
5 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 3% · title 1%
FAN PULSE—4 of 30 scored
RECORD2-5
ATS · O/U3-4 · 5-2
POSTGAME WE · AVG38%2.7 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.25131st FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tarleton StateTarleton State | L13–20 | −2−2 | L | −0.21 | 37% | 40% | 35% | U 49 | — | |
EPA −0.21 · SR 37% · U 49WE 35% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Nebraskaat Nebraska | L7–56 | +30.5+30.5 | L | −1.26 | 24% | 60% | 1% | O 49 | — | |
EPA −1.26 · SR 24% · O 49WE 1% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Iowa Stateat Iowa State | L7–55 | +23+23 | L | −0.79 | 32% | 59% | 0% | O 43.5 | — | |
EPA −0.79 · SR 32% · O 43.5WE 0% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   South FloridaSouth Florida | L6–14 | +18+18 | W | −0.16 | 33% | 49% | 28% | U 49 | — | |
EPA −0.16 · SR 33% · U 49WE 28% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Miami (OH)at Miami (OH) | W24–20 | +11.5+11.5 | W | +0.24 | 50% | 37% | 59% | O 42.5 | — | |
EPA +0.24 · SR 50% · O 42.5WE 59% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   Sacramento StateSacramento State | W38–10 | −9.5−9.5 | W | +0.43 | 48% | 40% | 94% | O 43.5 | — | |
EPA +0.43 · SR 48% · O 43.5WE 94% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   Ball StateBall State | L31–32 | −6−6 | L | −0.05 | 45% | 55% | 52% | O 46.5 | — | |
EPA −0.05 · SR 45% · O 46.5WE 52% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at Buffaloat BuffaloNEXT | SAT 3:30 ESPN+SAT 3:30 | +3+3 | — | — | — | — | 39% | 44.5 | +4.6 | |
MODEL +4.6 · TOTAL 44.5WP 39% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at Western Michiganat Western Michigan | OCT 31OCT 31 | —+13.8 | 20% | +13.8 | ||||||
MODEL +13.8WP 20% | |||||||||||
| 10 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 11 |   Kent StateKent State | NOV 10NOV 10 | —−2.2 | 55% | −2.2 | ||||||
MODEL −2.2WP 55% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Toledoat Toledo | NOV 20NOV 20 | —+17.8 | 14% | +17.8 | ||||||
MODEL +17.8WP 14% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   MassachusettsMassachusetts | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+2.9 | 43% | +2.9 | ||||||
MODEL +2.9WP 43% | |||||||||||