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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

MAC · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 2-5

Central Michigan Chippewas

HC Matt Drinkall (2nd yr) · OC Jim Chapin · DC Sean Cronin

STARTS IN 21 PERSONNEL (5 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%

Power rating−9.8123rd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.8of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

MAC · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 2-5

Central Michigan

Chippewas · HC Matt Drinkall (2nd yr) · starts in 21 (5 of 7) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−9.8123rd
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.8of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

Central Michigan

3-4 · 1-2 MAC

POWER RATING−9.8123rd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS5.8of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT

4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—3 of 30 scored

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Latest from the beat

CENTRAL MICHIGAN · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Central Michigan schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1at New Mexicoat New MexicoL7–38+11.5+11.5L−0.8022%53%1%4828.1
2ColgateColgateW13–10−18.5−18.5L+0.1634%34%59%6234.0
3WyomingWyomingW24–10+2+2W+0.4152%40%81%6432.7
4at Miamiat MiamiL3–52+41.5+41.5L−1.1520%65%9%5134.1
5AkronAkronW41–17−7−7W+0.6552%31%92%6032.1
6at Ohioat OhioL14–31+2.5+2.5L−0.8336%65%17%5529.3
7Western MichiganWestern MichiganL14–21+7.5+7.5W−0.2340%47%32%7326.3
8Miami (OH)Miami (OH)NEXTSAT 1:00 ESPN+SAT 1:00+3.5+3.5————42%115—
9BYE
10vs Eastern Michigan · Detroitvs Eastern MichiganNOV 4NOV 4−4.9 proj−4.962%
11Sacramento StateSacramento StateNOV 11NOV 11−13.7 proj−13.780%
12at Buffaloat BuffaloNOV 18NOV 18+1.3 proj+1.347%
13at Ball Stateat Ball StateNOV 28NOV 28−0.3 proj−0.351%

Success rate by down & distance

1st0%n 1—n 039%n 1220%n 5
2nd75%n 2460%n 2536%n 447%n 15
3rd63%n 1917%n 1822%n 187%n 14
4th77%n 130%n 1100%n 10%n 1

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 318 OF 321 PLAYS318 OF 321 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun100%100%35%−0.0739%
No-huddle5%5%60%−0.2533%
Huddle95%95%34%−0.0640%
StartersSTARTERS
215 of 7 games111 of 7BASE D4-2-55 of 7
215 of 74-2-5base D · 5 of 7

In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 35 % of the time. Starts in 21 personnel in 5 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (5 of 7).

Next game

SAT 1:00 ESPN+ · KELLY/SHORTS STADIUMSAT 1:00 ESPN+

vs Miami (OH)LINE+3.5MODEL+3.3WP42%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
MAC crews−0.4 to +0.4 · 44 games0.0−0.4 to +0.444NOISE
ACC crews— · 4 games−0.4—4NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 3 games+0.5—3NOISE
Mountain West crews— · 3 games+0.6—3NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 2 games−0.8—2NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTDavid Siegle−1.3 / g · 5 games · noise−1.3 / g · 5 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTRich Edwards+1.5 / g · 6 games · noise+1.5 / g · 6 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Central Michigan than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Central Michigan than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Central Michigan offense statistics
MetricStat
Central MichiganCMU
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.07121st+0.06
Success rate38.1%126th42.3%
Explosiveness1.19132nd1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.1050th+0.07
Pass EPA / play−0.12137th+0.11
Passing downs SR26.1%136th31.1%
Line yards3.6117th3.21
Sack rate allowed7.1%105th5.3%
3rd-down conversion29%135th41%
Points / opportunity3.14127th4.27
Red zone TD rate57%97th63%
Seconds / play30.5113th28.0