ACC · 3-4 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 3-4
Florida State Seminoles
HC Mike Norvell (7th yr) · OC Tim Harris Jr. · DC Tony White
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 7) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Power rating3.847th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins5.7of 12
Fan pulse−12▲20
ACC · 3-4 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 3-4
Florida State
Seminoles · HC Mike Norvell (7th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 7) · base D 3-3-5
Power rating3.847th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins5.7of 12
Fan pulse−12▲20
Florida State
3-4 · 1-3 ACC
POWER RATING3.847th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS5.7of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
FAN PULSE−12▲20
7 pts below the model ·Coverage →
RECORD3-4
ATS · O/U3-3 · 3-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG58%4.0 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.0258th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   New Mexico StateNew Mexico State | W34–17 | −31−31 | L | +0.26 | 46% | 35% | 88% | U 53.5 | — | |
EPA +0.26 · SR 46% · U 53.5WE 88% | |||||||||||
| 1 |   SMUSMU | L24–27 | +3+3 | P | −0.31 | 37% | 61% | 43% | U 53.5 | — | |
EPA −0.31 · SR 37% · U 53.5WE 43% | |||||||||||
| 2 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 3 |   at Alabamaat Alabama | L36–50 | +18.5+18.5 | W | −0.36 | 41% | 50% | 19% | O 50.5 | — | |
EPA −0.36 · SR 41% · O 50.5WE 19% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   Central ArkansasCentral Arkansas | W34–7 | −46−46 | L | +0.59 | 59% | 38% | 97% | U 62.5 | — | |
EPA +0.59 · SR 59% · U 62.5WE 97% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   VirginiaVirginia | W38–7 | +1.5+1.5 | W | +0.52 | 50% | 33% | 98% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA +0.52 · SR 50% · U 51.5WE 98% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Louisvilleat Louisville | L20–44 | +4+4 | L | −0.48 | 45% | 57% | 9% | O 60.5 | — | |
EPA −0.48 · SR 45% · O 60.5WE 9% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at Miamiat Miami | L35–43 | +20.5+20.5 | W | −0.11 | 33% | 44% | 51% | O 57.5 | — | |
EPA −0.11 · SR 33% · O 57.5WE 51% | |||||||||||
| 8 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 9 |   ClemsonClemsonNEXT | SAT 7:00 ACC NetworkSAT 7:00 | +1.5+1.5 | — | — | — | — | 60% | 51.5 | −4.3 | |
MODEL −4.3 · TOTAL 51.5WP 60% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at Boston Collegeat Boston College | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−6.2 | 65% | −6.2 | ||||||
MODEL −6.2WP 65% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Pittsburghat Pittsburgh | NOV 13NOV 13 | —+5.3 | 37% | +5.3 | ||||||
MODEL +5.3WP 37% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   NC StateNC State | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−7.4 | 67% | −7.4 | ||||||
MODEL −7.4WP 67% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   FloridaFlorida | NOV 27NOV 27 | —+2.5 | 44% | +2.5 | ||||||
MODEL +2.5WP 44% | |||||||||||