Big Ten · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 5-1
Illinois Fighting Illini
HC Bret Bielema (6th yr) · OC Barry Lunney Jr. · DC Bobby Hauck
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 91%
Power rating−1.278th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.7of 12
Fan pulse+4▲12
Big Ten · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 5-1
Illinois
Fighting Illini · HC Bret Bielema (6th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 3-3-5
Power rating−1.278th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins4.7of 12
Fan pulse+4▲12
Illinois
3-3 · 1-2 Big Ten
POWER RATING−1.278th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS4.7of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
FAN PULSE+4▲12
25 pts above the model ·Coverage →
RECORD3-3
ATS · O/U2-4 · 5-1
POSTGAME WE · AVG52%3.1 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.0890th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   UABUAB | W42–23 | −26−26 | L | +0.43 | 57% | 41% | 85% | O 54 | — | |
EPA +0.43 · SR 57% · O 54WE 85% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   DukeDuke | L27–31 | −6.5−6.5 | L | −0.26 | 51% | 48% | 41% | O 51.5 | — | |
EPA −0.26 · SR 51% · O 51.5WE 41% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   Southern IllinoisSouthern Illinois | W48–10 | −35−35 | W | +0.50 | 58% | 33% | 98% | O 55.5 | — | |
EPA +0.50 · SR 58% · O 55.5WE 98% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Ohio Stateat Ohio State | L19–42 | +25.5+25.5 | W | −0.42 | 44% | 61% | 10% | O 53.5 | — | |
EPA −0.42 · SR 44% · O 53.5WE 10% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   PurduePurdue | L17–24 | −10−10 | L | −0.14 | 42% | 47% | 43% | U 62.5 | — | |
EPA −0.14 · SR 42% · U 62.5WE 43% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Michigan Stateat Michigan State | W38–37 | −2.5−2.5 | L | −0.17 | 51% | 50% | 37% | O 48.5 | — | |
EPA −0.17 · SR 51% · O 48.5WE 37% | |||||||||||
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   OregonOregonNEXT | SAT 3:00 BTNSAT 3:00 | +9.5+9.5 | — | — | — | — | 26% | 49.5 | +10.6 | |
MODEL +10.6 · TOTAL 49.5WP 26% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at Marylandat Maryland | OCT 31OCT 31 | —+0.4 | 49% | +0.4 | ||||||
MODEL +0.4WP 49% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   NebraskaNebraska | NOV 6NOV 6 | —+11.4 | 25% | +11.4 | ||||||
MODEL +11.4WP 25% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at UCLAat UCLA | NOV 13NOV 13 | —+15 | 18% | +15 | ||||||
MODEL +15WP 18% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   IowaIowa | NOV 21NOV 21 | —+6.2 | 35% | +6.2 | ||||||
MODEL +6.2WP 35% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Northwesternat Northwestern | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+12.1 | 23% | +12.1 | ||||||
MODEL +12.1WP 23% | |||||||||||