C-USA · 6-1 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 2-5
Liberty Flames
HC Jamey Chadwell (4th yr) · OC Newland Isaac · DC Shawn Quinn
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%
C-USA · 6-1 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 2-5
Liberty
Flames · HC Jamey Chadwell (4th yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Liberty
6-1 · 3-0 C-USA
1 loss now · CFP 44% in sims · CCG 92% · title 69%
Latest from the beat
LIBERTY · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at James Madisonat James Madison | L13–20 | +6+6 | L | −0.09 | 36% | 38% | 41% | 66 | 27.0 | |
| 2 |   Gardner-WebbGardner-Webb | W24–23 | −28.5−28.5 | L | +0.08 | 38% | 32% | 51% | 65 | 27.9 | |
| 3 |   Ball StateBall State | W51–15 | −14.5−14.5 | W | +0.40 | 55% | 42% | 99% | 63 | 31.6 | |
| 4 |   at Coastal Carolinaat Coastal Carolina | W34–17 | −2.5−2.5 | W | +0.37 | 56% | 27% | 80% | 62 | 33.0 | |
| 5 |   at Delawareat Delaware | W30–14 | −7−7 | W | +0.59 | 53% | 31% | 84% | 72 | 32.7 | |
| 6 |   Sam HoustonSam Houston | W35–3 | −13.5−13.5 | W | +0.72 | 63% | 32% | 100% | 53 | 36.1 | |
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   at Kennesaw Stateat Kennesaw State | W34–6 | −8.5−8.5 | W | +0.61 | 42% | 37% | 96% | 61 | 35.0 | |
| 9 |   Florida InternationalFlorida InternationalNEXT | SAT 3:30 CBSSNSAT 3:30 | −13.9 proj−13.9 | — | — | — | — | 80% | — | — | |
| 10 |   at New Mexico Stateat New Mexico State | NOV 7NOV 7 | −11.9 proj−11.9 | 76% | |||||||
| 11 |   Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee | NOV 14NOV 14 | −16.6 proj−16.6 | 84% | |||||||
| 12 |   Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky | NOV 21NOV 21 | −16.8 proj−16.8 | 85% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Missouri Stateat Missouri State | NOV 28NOV 28 | −13 proj−13 | 78% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 384 OF 386 PLAYS384 OF 386 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun100% | 100% | 38% | +0.18 | 48% |
| No-huddle86% | 86% | 36% | +0.23 | 50% |
| Huddle14% | 14% | 44% | −0.07 | 36% |
In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 38 % of the time. No-huddle on 86 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 3 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 7).
Next game
SAT 3:30 CBSSN · WILLIAMS STADIUM (VA)SAT 3:30 CBSSN
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C-USA crews−0.5 to +0.3 · 40 games | −0.1 | −0.5 to +0.3 | 40 | NOISE |
| ACC crews−0.4 to +0.8 · 8 games | +0.2 | −0.4 to +0.8 | 8 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 2 games | +2.3 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 2 games | −1.6 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 2 games | −2.1 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 1 game | −2.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 1 game | −0.4 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Liberty than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Liberty than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | LibertyLIB | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.11 | 47th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 45.3% | 34th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.23 | 117th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.17 | 14th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.15 | 50th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 31.2% | 63rd | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.78 | 3rd | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 6.9% | 102nd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39% | 77th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.18 | 74th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 58% | 96th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 31.8 | 132nd | 28.0 |