C-USA · 6-1 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 2-5
Liberty Flames
HC Jamey Chadwell (4th yr) · OC Newland Isaac · DC Shawn Quinn
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%
Power rating6.730th
CFP odds44%+25
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→BUBBLE
Proj. wins10.0of 12
Fan pulse · partial—11 of 30 scored
C-USA · 6-1 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 2-5
Liberty
Flames · HC Jamey Chadwell (4th yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating6.730th
CFP odds · outlook44%+25NEEDS TITLE→BUBBLE
Proj. wins10.0of 12
Fan pulse · partial—11 of 30 scored
Liberty
6-1 · 3-0 C-USA
POWER RATING6.730th in FBS
CFP ODDS44%+25 this week
PROJ. WINS10.0of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→BUBBLE
1 loss now · CFP 44% in sims · CCG 92% · title 69%
FAN PULSE—11 of 30 scored
RECORD6-1
ATS · O/U5-2 · 2-5
POSTGAME WE · AVG79%5.5 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1818th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at James Madisonat James Madison | L13–20 | +6+6 | L | −0.09 | 36% | 38% | 41% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA −0.09 · SR 36% · U 50.5WE 41% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   Gardner-WebbGardner-Webb | W24–23 | −28.5−28.5 | L | +0.08 | 38% | 32% | 51% | U 55.5 | — | |
EPA +0.08 · SR 38% · U 55.5WE 51% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   Ball StateBall State | W51–15 | −14.5−14.5 | W | +0.40 | 55% | 42% | 99% | O 49.5 | — | |
EPA +0.40 · SR 55% · O 49.5WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Coastal Carolinaat Coastal Carolina | W34–17 | −2.5−2.5 | W | +0.37 | 56% | 27% | 80% | O 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.37 · SR 56% · O 50.5WE 80% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Delawareat Delaware | W30–14 | −7−7 | W | +0.59 | 53% | 31% | 84% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA +0.59 · SR 53% · U 51.5WE 84% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   Sam HoustonSam Houston | W35–3 | −13.5−13.5 | W | +0.72 | 63% | 32% | 100% | U 53 | — | |
EPA +0.72 · SR 63% · U 53WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   at Kennesaw Stateat Kennesaw State | W34–6 | −8.5−8.5 | W | +0.61 | 42% | 37% | 96% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.61 · SR 42% · U 50.5WE 96% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   Florida InternationalFlorida InternationalNEXT | SAT 3:30 CBSSNSAT 3:30 | —−13.9 | — | — | — | — | 80% | — | −13.9 | |
MODEL −13.9WP 80% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at New Mexico Stateat New Mexico State | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−11.9 | 76% | −11.9 | ||||||
MODEL −11.9WP 76% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−16.6 | 84% | −16.6 | ||||||
MODEL −16.6WP 84% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−16.8 | 85% | −16.8 | ||||||
MODEL −16.8WP 85% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Missouri Stateat Missouri State | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−13 | 78% | −13 | ||||||
MODEL −13WP 78% | |||||||||||