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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

ACC · 3-4 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 5-2

NC State Wolfpack

HC Dave Doeren (13th yr) · OC Kurt Roper · DC DJ Eliot

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 99%

Power rating0.368th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins5.6of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

ACC · 3-4 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 5-2

NC State

Wolfpack · HC Dave Doeren (13th yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 6) · base D 3-3-5

Power rating0.368th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins5.6of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

NC State

3-4 · 1-3 ACC

POWER RATING0.368th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS5.6of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—3 of 30 scored

Coverage →

RECORD3-4
ATS · O/U2-5 · 5-2
POSTGAME WE · AVG49%3.4 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.0173rd FBS

Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS

NC State schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
WP · post / pre
O/U
Model
1at Virginiaat VirginiaL8–34+4+4L−0.5832%53%2%U 50.5—
EPA −0.58 · SR 32% · U 50.5WE 2%
2RichmondRichmondW73–0−33.5−33.5W+1.7671%25%100%O 50.5—
EPA +1.76 · SR 71% · O 50.5WE 100%
3at Vanderbiltat VanderbiltL31–35+3+3L−0.1340%47%43%O 50.5—
EPA −0.13 · SR 40% · O 50.5WE 43%
4App StateApp StateW41–31−13−13L+0.1253%38%76%O 56.5—
EPA +0.12 · SR 53% · O 56.5WE 76%
5LouisvilleLouisvilleW31–28+4.5+4.5W+0.1240%45%55%O 57—
EPA +0.12 · SR 40% · O 57WE 55%
6Wake ForestWake ForestL14–38+4+4L−0.4839%48%7%U 56.5—
EPA −0.48 · SR 39% · U 56.5WE 7%
7BYE
8at Stanfordat StanfordL28–31−7.5−7.5L———60%O 54.5—
EPA — · SR — · O 54.5WE 60%
9CaliforniaCaliforniaNEXTSAT 12:00 ACC NetworkSAT 12:00—−9.3————71%—−9.3
MODEL −9.3WP 71%
10DukeDukeNOV 7NOV 7—+0.449%+0.4
MODEL +0.4WP 49%
11SyracuseSyracuseNOV 14NOV 14—−4.962%−4.9
MODEL −4.9WP 62%
12at Florida Stateat Florida StateNOV 21NOV 21—+6.136%+6.1
MODEL +6.1WP 36%
13at North Carolinaat North CarolinaNOV 28NOV 28—+4.739%+4.7
MODEL +4.7WP 39%