C-USA · 3-4 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 3-4
New Mexico State Aggies
HC Tony Sanchez (3rd yr) · OC David Yost · DC Joe Morris
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%
Power rating−7.5112th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.2of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored
C-USA · 3-4 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 3-4
New Mexico State
Aggies · HC Tony Sanchez (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating−7.5112th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.2of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored
New Mexico State
3-4 · 2-1 C-USA
POWER RATING−7.5112th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS5.2of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 13% · title 3%
FAN PULSE—3 of 30 scored
RECORD3-4
ATS · O/U4-3 · 3-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG44%3.1 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.11101st FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Florida Stateat Florida State | L17–34 | +31+31 | W | −0.26 | 35% | 46% | 12% | U 53.5 | — | |
EPA −0.26 · SR 35% · U 53.5WE 12% | |||||||||||
| 1 |  MercyhurstMercyhurst | W51–14 | −29−29 | W | +0.58 | 48% | 36% | 99% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.58 · SR 48% · O 52.5WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Hawai'iat Hawai'i | L19–29 | +7.5+7.5 | L | −0.09 | 48% | 43% | 33% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA −0.09 · SR 48% · U 50.5WE 33% | |||||||||||
| 3 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 4 |   New MexicoNew Mexico | L18–42 | +11.5+11.5 | L | −0.60 | 27% | 48% | 4% | O 47.5 | — | |
EPA −0.60 · SR 27% · O 47.5WE 4% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky | W34–13 | −1.5−1.5 | W | +0.31 | 37% | 34% | 89% | U 56 | — | |
EPA +0.31 · SR 37% · U 56WE 89% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Florida Internationalat Florida International | L3–22 | +7+7 | L | −0.28 | 34% | 38% | 6% | U 47 | — | |
EPA −0.28 · SR 34% · U 47WE 6% | |||||||||||
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   at Sam Houstonat Sam Houston | W30–24 | −3−3 | W | +0.23 | 39% | 25% | 63% | O 46.5 | — | |
EPA +0.23 · SR 39% · O 46.5WE 63% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   Jacksonville StateJacksonville StateNEXT | WED 8:00 ESPN2WED 8:00 | +2.5+2.5 | — | — | — | — | 44% | 49.5 | +2.5 | |
MODEL +2.5 · TOTAL 49.5WP 44% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   LibertyLiberty | NOV 7NOV 7 | —+11.9 | 24% | +11.9 | ||||||
MODEL +11.9WP 24% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Missouri Stateat Missouri State | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+1.2 | 47% | +1.2 | ||||||
MODEL +1.2WP 47% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   DelawareDelaware | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−3.7 | 59% | −3.7 | ||||||
MODEL −3.7WP 59% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Middle Tennesseeat Middle Tennessee | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+2 | 45% | +2 | ||||||
MODEL +2WP 45% | |||||||||||