Mountain West · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 2-5
North Dakota State Bison
HC Tim Polasek (1st yr) · OC Dan Larson · DC Grant Olson
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 7) · BASE D 4-3-4 · SHOTGUN 76%
Power rating3.846th
CFP odds17%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins9.8of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
Mountain West · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 2-5
North Dakota State
Bison · HC Tim Polasek (1st yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 7) · base D 4-3-4
Power rating3.846th
CFP odds · outlook17%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins9.8of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
North Dakota State
6-1 · 3-1 Mountain West
POWER RATING3.846th in FBS
CFP ODDS17%no change
PROJ. WINS9.8of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
1 loss now · CFP 17% in sims · CCG 70% · title 35%
FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored
RECORD6-1
ATS · O/U3-4 · 2-5
POSTGAME WE · AVG79%5.5 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1429th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Jacksonville StateJacksonville State | W33–7 | −7−7 | W | +0.69 | 44% | 29% | 95% | U 46.5 | — | |
EPA +0.69 · SR 44% · U 46.5WE 95% | |||||||||||
| 1 |   FordhamFordham | W38–0 | −41.5−41.5 | L | +0.96 | 52% | 30% | 100% | U 54.5 | — | |
EPA +0.96 · SR 52% · U 54.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Air Forceat Air Force | W38–32 | −2−2 | W | −0.08 | 38% | 50% | 46% | O 48.5 | — | |
EPA −0.08 · SR 38% · O 48.5WE 46% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Sacramento Stateat Sacramento State | W31–10 | −25.5−25.5 | L | +0.52 | 32% | 37% | 87% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.52 · SR 32% · U 50.5WE 87% | |||||||||||
| 4 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 5 |   WyomingWyoming | W28–0 | −17.5−17.5 | W | +0.74 | 52% | 27% | 98% | U 44.5 | — | |
EPA +0.74 · SR 52% · U 44.5WE 98% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at UNLVat UNLV | L7–13 | −3−3 | L | −0.21 | 34% | 38% | 43% | U 47.5 | — | |
EPA −0.21 · SR 34% · U 47.5WE 43% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   NevadaNevada | W31–17 | −14.5−14.5 | L | +0.32 | 41% | 30% | 86% | O 42.5 | — | |
EPA +0.32 · SR 41% · O 42.5WE 86% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at New Mexicoat New MexicoNEXT | SAT 10:00 CWSAT 10:00 | +4.5+4.5 | — | — | — | — | 38% | 40.5 | +5.2 | |
MODEL +5.2 · TOTAL 40.5WP 38% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   UTEPUTEP | OCT 31OCT 31 | —−25 | 94% | −25 | ||||||
MODEL −25WP 94% | |||||||||||
| 10 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 11 |   at Hawai'iat Hawai'i | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−13.4 | 79% | −13.4 | ||||||
MODEL −13.4WP 79% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−23.5 | 92% | −23.5 | ||||||
MODEL −23.5WP 92% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at San José Stateat San José State | NOV 27NOV 27 | —−11.1 | 75% | −11.1 | ||||||
MODEL −11.1WP 75% | |||||||||||