

Mountain West · 0-6 · 0-2 CONF · ATS 1-5 · O/U 3-3
Northern Illinois Huskies
HC Rob Harley (1st yr) · OC Tony Petersen · DC —
STARTS IN 10 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%


Mountain West · 0-6 · 0-2 CONF · ATS 1-5 · O/U 3-3
Northern Illinois
Huskies · HC Rob Harley (1st yr) · starts in 10 (3 of 6) · base D 4-2-5


Northern Illinois
0-6 · 0-2 Mountain West
6 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
NORTHERN ILLINOIS · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L0–40 | +32+32 | L | −1.21 | 5% | 48% | 1% | 54 | 28.0 | ||
| 2 | L24–28 | +2.5+2.5 | L | −0.15 | 47% | 43% | 42% | 66 | 25.3 | ||
| 3 | L17–42 | +34.5+34.5 | W | −0.43 | 40% | 54% | 9% | 67 | 28.2 | ||
| 4 | L14–35 | +9+9 | L | −0.06 | 41% | 43% | 19% | 73 | 27.5 | ||
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 | L7–28 | +7+7 | L | −0.51 | 47% | 66% | 3% | 43 | 29.5 | ||
| 7 | L23–41 | +7+7 | L | −0.40 | 32% | 60% | 14% | 73 | 27.5 | ||
| 8 | SAT 3:30 MW+SAT 3:30 | +4+4 | — | — | — | — | 42% | 133 | — | ||
| 9 | OCT 31OCT 31 | +21.2 proj+21.2 | 10% | ||||||||
| 10 | NOV 7NOV 7 | +10.3 proj+10.3 | 27% | ||||||||
| 11 | NOV 14NOV 14 | +7.6 proj+7.6 | 32% | ||||||||
| 12 | NOV 21NOV 21 | +23.5 proj+23.5 | 8% | ||||||||
| 13 | NOV 28NOV 28 | −4.6 proj−4.6 | 61% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 313 OF 317 PLAYS313 OF 317 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun100% | 100% | 59% | −0.05 | 39% |
| No-huddle52% | 52% | 58% | −0.03 | 42% |
| Huddle48% | 48% | 60% | −0.08 | 35% |
In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 59 % of the time. No-huddle on 52 %. Starts in 10 personnel in 3 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (6 of 6).
Next game
SAT 3:30 MW+ · HUSKIE STADIUMSAT 3:30 MW+
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAC crews−0.3 to +0.6 · 37 games | +0.1 | −0.3 to +0.6 | 37 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 6 games | −0.5 | — | 6 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 3 games | +1.4 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 3 games | −1.0 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 2 games | +0.9 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 2 games | −0.4 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 2 games | −1.2 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 1 game | −4.1 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Northern Illinois than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Northern Illinois than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Northern IllinoisNIU | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | −0.05 | 111th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 38.6% | 116th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.26 | 97th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.06 | 78th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | −0.03 | 126th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 27.5% | 124th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.43 | 34th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 8.0% | 117th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31% | 131st | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 2.96 | 133rd | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 50% | 119th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 27.8 | 63rd | 28.0 |

