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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Mountain West · 0-6 · 0-2 CONF · ATS 1-5 · O/U 3-3

Northern Illinois Huskies

HC Rob Harley (1st yr) · OC Tony Petersen · DC —

STARTS IN 10 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%

Power rating−17.1136th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins1.8of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Mountain West · 0-6 · 0-2 CONF · ATS 1-5 · O/U 3-3

Northern Illinois

Huskies · HC Rob Harley (1st yr) · starts in 10 (3 of 6) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−17.1136th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins1.8of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Northern Illinois

0-6 · 0-2 Mountain West

POWER RATING−17.1136th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS1.8of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

6 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored

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Latest from the beat

NORTHERN ILLINOIS · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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No verified updates in the last 72 hours.

Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Northern Illinois schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1at Iowaat IowaL0–40+32+32L−1.215%48%1%5428.0
2Illinois StateIllinois StateL24–28+2.5+2.5L−0.1547%43%42%6625.3
3at Arizonaat ArizonaL17–42+34.5+34.5W−0.4340%54%9%6728.2
4at Georgia Stateat Georgia StateL14–35+9+9L−0.0641%43%19%7327.5
5BYE
6Air ForceAir ForceL7–28+7+7L−0.5147%66%3%4329.5
7at Wyomingat WyomingL23–41+7+7L−0.4032%60%14%7327.5
8Hawai'iHawai'iNEXTSAT 3:30 MW+SAT 3:30+4+4————42%133—
9at UNLVat UNLVOCT 31OCT 31+21.2 proj+21.210%
10at San José Stateat San José StateNOV 7NOV 7+10.3 proj+10.327%
11NevadaNevadaNOV 14NOV 14+7.6 proj+7.632%
12at North Dakota Stateat North Dakota StateNOV 21NOV 21+23.5 proj+23.58%
13UTEPUTEPNOV 28NOV 28−4.6 proj−4.661%

Success rate by down & distance

1st50%n 20%n 146%n 12733%n 6
2nd73%n 1141%n 2735%n 435%n 19
3rd58%n 1226%n 1935%n 2012%n 17
4th29%n 7100%n 30%n 10%n 2

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 313 OF 317 PLAYS313 OF 317 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun100%100%59%−0.0539%
No-huddle52%52%58%−0.0342%
Huddle48%48%60%−0.0835%
StartersSTARTERS
103 of 6 games113 of 6BASE D4-2-56 of 6
103 of 64-2-5base D · 6 of 6

In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 59 % of the time. No-huddle on 52 %. Starts in 10 personnel in 3 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (6 of 6).

Next game

SAT 3:30 MW+ · HUSKIE STADIUMSAT 3:30 MW+

vs Hawai'iLINE+4MODEL+3.5WP42%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

O
Rickey Taylor Jr.WR · SO
WR · top injury
NEXT UPJ. FowlerΔ −0.23 EPA/play
0%TO PLAY
−1.6IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −1.6 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
MAC crews−0.3 to +0.6 · 37 games+0.1−0.3 to +0.637NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 6 games−0.5—6NOISE
Mountain West crews— · 3 games+1.4—3NOISE
SEC crews— · 3 games−1.0—3NOISE
ACC crews— · 2 games+0.9—2NOISE
American crews— · 2 games−0.4—2NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 2 games−1.2—2NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 1 game−4.1—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTAndrew Speciale−0.9 / g · 4 games · noise−0.9 / g · 4 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTBilly Williams+1.4 / g · 3 games · noise+1.4 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Northern Illinois than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Northern Illinois than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Northern Illinois offense statistics
MetricStat
Northern IllinoisNIU
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.05111th+0.06
Success rate38.6%116th42.3%
Explosiveness1.2697th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.0678th+0.07
Pass EPA / play−0.03126th+0.11
Passing downs SR27.5%124th31.1%
Line yards3.4334th3.21
Sack rate allowed8.0%117th5.3%
3rd-down conversion31%131st41%
Points / opportunity2.96133rd4.27
Red zone TD rate50%119th63%
Seconds / play27.863rd28.0