Big Ten · #24 AP · 5-1 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-1
Northwestern Wildcats
HC David Braun (4th yr) · OC Chip Kelly · DC Tim McGarigle
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 5) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 66%
Power rating8.623rd
CFP odds8%—
PLAYOFFIN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.5of 12
Fan pulse—13 of 30 scored
Big Ten · #24 AP · 5-1 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-1
Northwestern
Wildcats · HC David Braun (4th yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 5) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating8.623rd
CFP odds · outlook8%—IN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.5of 12
Fan pulse—13 of 30 scored
Northwestern
#24 · 5-1 · 2-1 Big Ten
POWER RATING8.623rd in FBS
CFP ODDS8%no change
PROJ. WINS8.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKIN→LONG SHOT
1 loss now · CFP 8% in sims · CCG 4% · title 2%
FAN PULSE—13 of 30 scored
RECORD5-1
ATS · O/U4-2 · 3-1
POSTGAME WE · AVG77%4.6 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.2015th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   South Dakota StateSouth Dakota State | W34–18 | −13.5−13.5 | W | +0.38 | 50% | 42% | 81% | O 49 | — | |
EPA +0.38 · SR 50% · O 49WE 81% | |||||||||||
| 2 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 3 |   ColoradoColorado | W41–7 | −3.5−3.5 | W | +0.67 | 51% | 43% | 99% | P 48 | — | |
EPA +0.67 · SR 51% · P 48WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Indianaat Indiana | L23–29 | +20.5+20.5 | W | +0.14 | 43% | 50% | 37% | O 50 | — | |
EPA +0.14 · SR 43% · O 50WE 37% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   Penn StatePenn State | W34–13 | +3+3 | W | +0.40 | 60% | 40% | 90% | P 47 | — | |
EPA +0.40 · SR 60% · P 47WE 90% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   Ball StateBall State | W45–14 | −34.5−34.5 | L | +0.70 | 57% | 41% | 99% | O 53.5 | — | |
EPA +0.70 · SR 57% · O 53.5WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at Michigan Stateat Michigan State | W24–21 | −7.5−7.5 | L | +0.08 | 43% | 44% | 56% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.08 · SR 43% · U 50.5WE 56% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   RutgersRutgersNEXT | SAT 12:00 PeacockSAT 12:00 | −16−16 | — | — | — | — | 84% | 59 | −16.4 | |
MODEL −16.4 · TOTAL 59WP 84% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at Oregonat Oregon | OCT 31OCT 31 | —+5.3 | 37% | +5.3 | ||||||
MODEL +5.3WP 37% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   IowaIowa | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−3.4 | 58% | −3.4 | ||||||
MODEL −3.4WP 58% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Ohio Stateat Ohio State | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+15.4 | 18% | +15.4 | ||||||
MODEL +15.4WP 18% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Minnesotaat Minnesota | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−9.5 | 72% | −9.5 | ||||||
MODEL −9.5WP 72% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   IllinoisIllinois | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−12.2 | 77% | −12.2 | ||||||
MODEL −12.2WP 77% | |||||||||||