Big Ten · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 4-2
Oregon Ducks
HC Dan Lanning (5th yr) · OC Drew Mehringer · DC Chris Hampton
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 2-4-5 · SHOTGUN 94%
Power rating11.316th
CFP odds6%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.8of 12
Fan pulse−15▲8
Big Ten · 4-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 4-2
Oregon
Ducks · HC Dan Lanning (5th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 2-4-5
Power rating11.316th
CFP odds · outlook6%—BUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.8of 12
Fan pulse−15▲8
Oregon
4-2 · 2-1 Big Ten
POWER RATING11.316th in FBS
CFP ODDS6%no change
PROJ. WINS7.8of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 6% in sims · CCG 11% · title 4%
FAN PULSE−15▲8
45 pts below the model ·Coverage →
RECORD4-2
ATS · O/U2-4 · 4-2
POSTGAME WE · AVG61%3.7 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1428th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Boise StateBoise State | W34–27 | −25−25 | L | +0.08 | 47% | 38% | 49% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.08 · SR 47% · O 52.5WE 49% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Oklahoma Stateat Oklahoma State | L31–39 | −24.5−24.5 | L | −0.22 | 30% | 45% | 31% | O 55.5 | — | |
EPA −0.22 · SR 30% · O 55.5WE 31% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   Portland StatePortland State | W84–0 | −58.5−58.5 | W | +1.30 | 65% | 21% | 100% | O 71.5 | — | |
EPA +1.30 · SR 65% · O 71.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at USCat USC | W41–27 | −3.5−3.5 | W | +0.24 | 45% | 43% | 79% | O 60.5 | — | |
EPA +0.24 · SR 45% · O 60.5WE 79% | |||||||||||
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   UCLAUCLA | L15–17 | −10−10 | L | −0.20 | 28% | 34% | 52% | U 57.5 | — | |
EPA −0.20 · SR 28% · U 57.5WE 52% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   NebraskaNebraska | W17–14 | −6.5−6.5 | L | +0.02 | 36% | 27% | 56% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.02 · SR 36% · U 50.5WE 56% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at Illinoisat IllinoisNEXT | SAT 3:00 BTNSAT 3:00 | −9.5−9.5 | — | — | — | — | 74% | 49.5 | −10.6 | |
MODEL −10.6 · TOTAL 49.5WP 74% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   NorthwesternNorthwestern | OCT 31OCT 31 | —−5.3 | 62% | −5.3 | ||||||
MODEL −5.3WP 62% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at Ohio Stateat Ohio State | NOV 7NOV 7 | —+13.5 | 21% | +13.5 | ||||||
MODEL +13.5WP 21% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   MichiganMichigan | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−7.9 | 68% | −7.9 | ||||||
MODEL −7.9WP 68% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Michigan Stateat Michigan State | NOV 20NOV 20 | —−11.9 | 76% | −11.9 | ||||||
MODEL −11.9WP 76% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   WashingtonWashington | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−12.3 | 77% | −12.3 | ||||||
MODEL −12.3WP 77% | |||||||||||