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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

American · 1-6 · 0-3 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4

Rice Owls

HC Scott Abell (2nd yr) · OC Vince Munch · DC Jon Kay

STARTS IN 10 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 4-3-4 · SHOTGUN 100%

Power rating−11.8128th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins2.3of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

American · 1-6 · 0-3 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4

Rice

Owls · HC Scott Abell (2nd yr) · starts in 10 (3 of 6) · base D 4-3-4

Power rating−11.8128th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins2.3of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored

Rice

1-6 · 0-3 American

POWER RATING−11.8128th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS2.3of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

6 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—3 of 30 scored

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RICE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Rice schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1Houston ChristianHouston ChristianW31–3−23−23W+0.6355%29%98%8030.5
2at Notre Dameat Notre DameL0–52+45+45L−1.688%69%0%4635.6
3Western MichiganWestern MichiganL21–28+8.5+8.5W−0.1644%42%30%6126.1
4at Fresno Stateat Fresno StateL24–38+12.5+12.5L−0.0854%46%32%6328.2
5UTSAUTSAL14–16+12+12W−0.1231%37%44%5930.1
6at East Carolinaat East CarolinaL12–28+10+10L−0.3326%32%20%6526.3
7TulsaTulsaL17–38+3.5+3.5L−0.2944%48%12%6228.2
8at Florida Atlanticat Florida AtlanticNEXTSAT 12:00 ESPNUSAT 12:00+8+8————22%137—
9BYE
10at North Texasat North TexasNOV 7NOV 7+21.9 proj+21.99%
11TulaneTulaneNOV 14NOV 14+7 proj+734%
12at Templeat TempleNOV 19NOV 19+6.8 proj+6.834%
13ArmyArmyNOV 28NOV 28+9.8 proj+9.828%

Success rate by down & distance

1st100%n 2—n 043%n 16260%n 5
2nd61%n 1861%n 3831%n 6512%n 17
3rd70%n 2018%n 2230%n 236%n 18
4th57%n 763%n 80%n 10%n 2

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 404 OF 408 PLAYS404 OF 408 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun100%100%24%−0.0540%
No-huddle44%44%22%+0.1147%
Huddle56%56%25%−0.1735%
StartersSTARTERS
103 of 6 games011 of 6BASE D4-3-47 of 7
103 of 64-3-4base D · 7 of 7

In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 24 % of the time. No-huddle on 44 %. Starts in 10 personnel in 3 of 6 games. Base defense 4-3-4 (7 of 7).

Next game

SAT 12:00 ESPNU · FAU STADIUMSAT 12:00 ESPNU

at Florida AtlanticLINE+8MODEL+12.7WP22%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
American crews−0.5 to +0.4 · 36 games0.0−0.5 to +0.436NOISE
C-USA crews−0.6 to +0.6 · 12 games0.0−0.6 to +0.612NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 3 games−1.6—3NOISE
MAC crews— · 3 games+1.1—3NOISE
ACC crews— · 2 games+0.8—2NOISE
Pac-12 crews— · 1 game+0.4—1NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 1 game+0.2—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTKevin Randall−2.4 / g · 4 games · noise−2.4 / g · 4 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTMatt Overton+1.6 / g · 4 games · noise+1.6 / g · 4 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Rice than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Rice than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Rice offense statistics
MetricStat
RiceRICE
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play−0.08124th+0.06
Success rate39.0%110th42.3%
Explosiveness1.23119th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.0585th+0.07
Pass EPA / play−0.02121st+0.11
Passing downs SR26.4%134th31.1%
Line yards3.1878th3.21
Sack rate allowed10.3%134th5.3%
3rd-down conversion31%128th41%
Points / opportunity3.68107th4.27
Red zone TD rate50%119th63%
Seconds / play28.781st28.0