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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

Big Ten · 2-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 5-1

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

HC Greg Schiano (7th yr) · OC Kirk Ciarrocca · DC Travis Johansen

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 97%

Power rating−5.198th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins3.5of 12
Fan pulse—20 of 30 scored

Big Ten · 2-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 5-1

Rutgers

Scarlet Knights · HC Greg Schiano (7th yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 6) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−5.198th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins3.5of 12
Fan pulse—20 of 30 scored

Rutgers

2-4 · 1-2 Big Ten

POWER RATING−5.198th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS3.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT

4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—20 of 30 scored

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Latest from the beat

RUTGERS · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Rutgers schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1MassachusettsMassachusettsL21–37−29.5−29.5L−0.5536%53%16%6226.7
2at Boston Collegeat Boston CollegeL21–28+3+3L−0.0441%37%41%6833.0
3USCUSCL35–42+21+21W−0.0953%52%41%6829.6
4HowardHowardW58–7−42.5−42.5W+0.8763%43%100%7132.7
5IndianaIndianaL15–47+24.5+24.5L−0.9732%56%1%5529.6
6BYE
7at Marylandat MarylandW37–30+5.5+5.5W+0.1149%44%79%7333.0
8at Northwesternat NorthwesternNEXTSAT 12:00 PeacockSAT 12:00+16+16————16%127—
9MichiganMichiganOCT 31OCT 31+8.4 proj+8.431%
10at Wisconsinat WisconsinNOV 7NOV 7+12.9 proj+12.922%
11NebraskaNebraskaNOV 14NOV 14+16.1 proj+16.116%
12at Penn Stateat Penn StateNOV 21NOV 21+14.2 proj+14.219%
13Michigan StateMichigan StateNOV 28NOV 28+0.5 proj+0.549%

Success rate by down & distance

1st—n 075%n 443%n 13625%n 4
2nd69%n 1657%n 2150%n 6027%n 11
3rd60%n 2053%n 1536%n 140%n 9
4th45%n 11100%n 150%n 2100%n 1

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 322 OF 325 PLAYS322 OF 325 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun97%97%49%+0.1547%
Under center3%3%55%−0.4527%
No-huddle98%98%49%+0.1246%
Huddle2%2%29%+0.2571%
StartersSTARTERS
116 of 6 gamesBASE D4-2-55 of 5
116 of 64-2-5base D · 5 of 5

In shotgun on 97 % of tagged snaps, passing 49 % of the time (+0.15 EPA a play; −0.45 under center). No-huddle on 98 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 6 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (5 of 5).

Next game

SAT 12:00 Peacock · RYAN FIELDSAT 12:00 Peacock

at NorthwesternLINE+16MODEL+16.4WP16%

TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT

O
Kaj SandersDB · JR
DB · top injury
NEXT UPL. Noel
0%TO PLAY
−0.1IMPACT PTS

% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported

LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.1 PTS

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
Big Ten crews−0.4 to +0.4 · 50 games0.0−0.4 to +0.450NOISE
ACC crews— · 2 games−1.7—2NOISE
MAC crews— · 2 games+0.5—2NOISE
American crews— · 1 game+0.7—1NOISE
Pac-12 crews— · 1 game+2.9—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTTim O'Dey−1.7 / g · 5 games · noise−1.7 / g · 5 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTGregory Blum+0.8 / g · 3 games · noise+0.8 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Rutgers than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Rutgers than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Rutgers offense statistics
MetricStat
RutgersRUTG
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.0666th+0.06
Success rate44.2%44th42.3%
Explosiveness1.3156th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.02101st+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.1551st+0.11
Passing downs SR34.6%19th31.1%
Line yards3.1684th3.21
Sack rate allowed5.0%75th5.3%
3rd-down conversion43%53rd41%
Points / opportunity4.6651st4.27
Red zone TD rate73%25th63%
Seconds / play31.3127th28.0