Pac-12 · 3-4 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 5-2
San Diego State Aztecs
HC Sean Lewis (3rd yr) · OC Matt Johnson · DC Demetrius Sumler
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 5) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 97%
Power rating−7.8113th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins4.7of 11
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
Pac-12 · 3-4 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 2-5 · O/U 5-2
San Diego State
Aztecs · HC Sean Lewis (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 5) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating−7.8113th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins4.7of 11
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
San Diego State
3-4 · 2-1 Pac-12
POWER RATING−7.8113th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS4.7of 11 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 10% · title 2%
FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored
RECORD3-4
ATS · O/U2-5 · 5-2
POSTGAME WE · AVG36%2.5 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.21127th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Portland StatePortland State | W53–20 | −39.5−39.5 | L | +0.38 | 43% | 43% | 93% | O 62 | — | |
EPA +0.38 · SR 43% · O 62WE 93% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at UCLAat UCLA | L10–28 | +13.5+13.5 | L | −0.55 | 31% | 45% | 9% | U 53.5 | — | |
EPA −0.55 · SR 31% · U 53.5WE 9% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   James MadisonJames Madison | L13–26 | −3−3 | L | −0.22 | 31% | 47% | 29% | U 46.5 | — | |
EPA −0.22 · SR 31% · U 46.5WE 29% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Toledoat Toledo | L16–41 | +3+3 | L | −0.88 | 23% | 45% | 10% | O 50.5 | — | |
EPA −0.88 · SR 23% · O 50.5WE 10% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   Texas StateTexas State | W31–29 | +10+10 | W | −0.24 | 37% | 48% | 56% | O 57.5 | — | |
EPA −0.24 · SR 37% · O 57.5WE 56% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Oregon Stateat Oregon State | L14–66 | +14.5+14.5 | L | −0.84 | 30% | 65% | 0% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA −0.84 · SR 30% · O 52.5WE 0% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   Fresno StateFresno State | W26–23 | +6.5+6.5 | W | +0.11 | 43% | 45% | 54% | O 46.5 | — | |
EPA +0.11 · SR 43% · O 46.5WE 54% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at Colorado Stateat Colorado StateNEXT | SAT 6:30 CWSAT 6:30 | −1.5−1.5 | — | — | — | — | 49% | 60 | +0.3 | |
MODEL +0.3 · TOTAL 60WP 49% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   Washington StateWashington State | OCT 31OCT 31 | —−1.2 | 53% | −1.2 | ||||||
MODEL −1.2WP 53% | |||||||||||
| 10 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 11 |   Utah StateUtah State | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−1.9 | 55% | −1.9 | ||||||
MODEL −1.9WP 55% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Boise Stateat Boise State | NOV 21NOV 21 | —+18.2 | 13% | +18.2 | ||||||
MODEL +18.2WP 13% | |||||||||||