Sun Belt · 1-5 · 0-2 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 3-3
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
HC Blake Anderson (1st yr) · OC Kyle Cefalo · DC Joe Bolden
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 99%
Sun Belt · 1-5 · 0-2 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 3-3
Southern Miss
Golden Eagles · HC Blake Anderson (1st yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Southern Miss
1-5 · 0-2 Sun Belt
5 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 0%
Latest from the beat
SOUTHERN MISS · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alcorn StateAlcorn State | W49–3 | −20−20 | W | +0.79 | 60% | 19% | 100% | 84 | 23.4 | |
| 2 |   at Auburnat Auburn | L8–43 | +33+33 | L | −0.65 | 38% | 51% | 1% | 57 | 28.8 | |
| 3 |   UConnUConn | L20–48 | +3.5+3.5 | L | −0.51 | 36% | 51% | 6% | 78 | 21.3 | |
| 4 |   at Tulaneat Tulane | L21–24 | +18+18 | W | +0.10 | 36% | 36% | 44% | 64 | 27.2 | |
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   at Troyat Troy | L34–55 | +9.5+9.5 | L | −0.17 | 48% | 59% | 16% | 66 | 20.0 | |
| 7 |   Arkansas StateArkansas State | L13–23 | +5.5+5.5 | L | −0.12 | 32% | 37% | 28% | 60 | 30.2 | |
| 8 |   LouisianaLouisianaNEXT | SAT 5:00 ESPN+SAT 5:00 | +10+10 | — | — | — | — | 33% | 135 | — | |
| 9 |   at UL Monroeat UL Monroe | OCT 31OCT 31 | −3.7 proj−3.7 | 59% | |||||||
| 10 |   James MadisonJames Madison | NOV 5NOV 5 | +17.1 proj+17.1 | 15% | |||||||
| 11 |   at Louisiana Techat Louisiana Tech | NOV 14NOV 14 | +13.4 proj+13.4 | 21% | |||||||
| 12 |   South AlabamaSouth Alabama | NOV 21NOV 21 | +2.3 proj+2.3 | 44% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Old Dominionat Old Dominion | NOV 28NOV 28 | +5 proj+5 | 38% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 333 OF 335 PLAYS333 OF 335 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun99% | 99% | 57% | +0.04 | 42% |
| Under center1% | 1% | 50% | +0.35 | 25% |
| No-huddle59% | 59% | 55% | +0.15 | 43% |
| Huddle41% | 41% | 59% | −0.12 | 40% |
In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 57 % of the time (+0.04 EPA a play; +0.35 under center). No-huddle on 59 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 6 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (6 of 6).
Next game
SAT 5:00 ESPN+ · M. M. ROBERTS STADIUMSAT 5:00 ESPN+
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Belt crews−0.6 to +0.3 · 42 games | −0.1 | −0.6 to +0.3 | 42 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 3 games | +0.3 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 2 games | +1.4 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 2 games | −1.8 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 2 games | +1.1 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 1 game | +0.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 1 game | +4.6 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Southern Miss than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Southern Miss than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Southern MissUSM | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | 0.00 | 98th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 39.4% | 104th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.27 | 92nd | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.03 | 100th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.05 | 98th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 27.7% | 120th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.48 | 31st | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 3.2% | 30th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 30% | 133rd | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 3.59 | 114th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 56% | 103rd | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 23.5 | 6th | 28.0 |