American · 5-2 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
South Florida Bulls
HC Brian Hartline (1st yr) · OC Tim Beck · DC Josh Aldridge
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 92%
Power rating2.652nd
CFP odds1%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.1of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
American · 5-2 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
South Florida
Bulls · HC Brian Hartline (1st yr) · starts in 11 (4 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating2.652nd
CFP odds · outlook1%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.1of 12
Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored
South Florida
5-2 · 1-2 American
POWER RATING2.652nd in FBS
CFP ODDS1%no change
PROJ. WINS8.1of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 1% in sims · CCG 7% · title 3%
FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored
RECORD5-2
ATS · O/U3-4 · 3-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG70%4.9 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.0170th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Florida InternationalFlorida International | W19–9 | −14.5−14.5 | L | −0.04 | 43% | 37% | 75% | U 53.5 | — | |
EPA −0.04 · SR 43% · U 53.5WE 75% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Armyat Army | W28–24 | +3+3 | W | +0.21 | 55% | 52% | 60% | O 45.5 | — | |
EPA +0.21 · SR 55% · O 45.5WE 60% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   Delaware StateDelaware State | W59–17 | −37.5−37.5 | W | +0.49 | 64% | 47% | 99% | O 60 | — | |
EPA +0.49 · SR 64% · O 60WE 99% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Bowling Greenat Bowling Green | W14–6 | −18−18 | L | +0.16 | 49% | 33% | 72% | U 49 | — | |
EPA +0.16 · SR 49% · U 49WE 72% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   TempleTemple | L13–17 | −5.5−5.5 | L | −0.01 | 38% | 32% | 56% | U 49.5 | — | |
EPA −0.01 · SR 38% · U 49.5WE 56% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at UTSAat UTSA | L24–31 | +5.5+5.5 | L | −0.03 | 41% | 57% | 38% | O 49.5 | — | |
EPA −0.03 · SR 41% · O 49.5WE 38% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   Kent StateKent State | W29–2 | −20.5−20.5 | W | +0.52 | 51% | 36% | 93% | U 46.5 | — | |
EPA +0.52 · SR 51% · U 46.5WE 93% | |||||||||||
| 8 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 9 |   UABUABNEXT | SAT 12:00 ESPNUSAT 12:00 | —−11.9 | — | — | — | — | 77% | — | −11.9 | |
MODEL −11.9WP 77% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at East Carolinaat East Carolina | NOV 6NOV 6 | —−0.7 | 52% | −0.7 | ||||||
MODEL −0.7WP 52% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   MemphisMemphis | NOV 12NOV 12 | —−1.2 | 53% | −1.2 | ||||||
MODEL −1.2WP 53% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Florida Atlanticat Florida Atlantic | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−3.3 | 58% | −3.3 | ||||||
MODEL −3.3WP 58% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   TulaneTulane | NOV 27NOV 27 | —−6.6 | 66% | −6.6 | ||||||
MODEL −6.6WP 66% | |||||||||||