Big 12 · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 1-5
TCU Horned Frogs
HC Sonny Dykes (5th yr) · OC Gordon Sammis · DC Andy Avalos
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 98%
Power rating6.235th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.1of 12
Fan pulse—27 of 30 scored
Big 12 · 3-3 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 1-5
TCU
Horned Frogs · HC Sonny Dykes (5th yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating6.235th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.1of 12
Fan pulse—27 of 30 scored
TCU
3-3 · 1-2 Big 12
POWER RATING6.235th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.1of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 1% · title 1%
FAN PULSE—27 of 30 scored
RECORD3-3
ATS · O/U3-3 · 1-5
POSTGAME WE · AVG61%3.6 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.0941st FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   vs North Carolina · Dublinvs North Carolina | L10–15 | −7.5−7.5 | L | −0.10 | 34% | 44% | 40% | U 46.5 | — | |
EPA −0.10 · SR 34% · U 46.5WE 40% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   GramblingGrambling | W63–7 | −44.5−44.5 | W | +0.44 | 66% | 26% | 100% | O 56.5 | — | |
EPA +0.44 · SR 66% · O 56.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   Arkansas StateArkansas State | W31–7 | −19−19 | W | +0.49 | 46% | 33% | 94% | U 56.5 | — | |
EPA +0.49 · SR 46% · U 56.5WE 94% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at UCFat UCF | L13–21 | −3.5−3.5 | L | −0.05 | 37% | 43% | 30% | U 48.5 | — | |
EPA −0.05 · SR 37% · U 48.5WE 30% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   BYUBYU | L10–17 | +6+6 | L | −0.21 | 36% | 33% | 29% | U 48.5 | — | |
EPA −0.21 · SR 36% · U 48.5WE 29% | |||||||||||
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   at Baylorat Baylor | W17–6 | +3.5+3.5 | W | +0.16 | 36% | 25% | 70% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.16 · SR 36% · U 50.5WE 70% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   West VirginiaWest VirginiaNEXT | SAT 12:00 ESPN2SAT 12:00 | −10.5−10.5 | — | — | — | — | 81% | 57.5 | −14.7 | |
MODEL −14.7 · TOTAL 57.5WP 81% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   KansasKansas | OCT 31OCT 31 | —−7.3 | 67% | −7.3 | ||||||
MODEL −7.3WP 67% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at Arizonaat Arizona | NOV 6NOV 6 | —+6.5 | 35% | +6.5 | ||||||
MODEL +6.5WP 35% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   Kansas StateKansas State | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−5.6 | 63% | −5.6 | ||||||
MODEL −5.6WP 63% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   UtahUtah | NOV 21NOV 21 | —+5.1 | 38% | +5.1 | ||||||
MODEL +5.1WP 38% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Texas Techat Texas Tech | NOV 26NOV 26 | —+9.6 | 28% | +9.6 | ||||||
MODEL +9.6WP 28% | |||||||||||