MAC · 5-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 5-2
Toledo Rockets
HC Mike Jacobs (1st yr) · OC Cris Reisert · DC Jahmal Brown
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 93%
Power rating2.652nd
CFP odds3%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.7of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
MAC · 5-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 5-2
Toledo
Rockets · HC Mike Jacobs (1st yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating2.652nd
CFP odds · outlook3%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.7of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
Toledo
5-2 · 2-1 MAC
POWER RATING2.652nd in FBS
CFP ODDS3%no change
PROJ. WINS8.7of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 3% in sims · CCG 46% · title 29%
FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored
RECORD5-2
ATS · O/U3-3 · 5-2
POSTGAME WE · AVG62%4.4 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.0261st FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Michigan Stateat Michigan State | L20–30 | +10+10 | P | −0.09 | 29% | 39% | 35% | O 48.5 | — | |
EPA −0.09 · SR 29% · O 48.5WE 35% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   Central ConnecticutCentral Connecticut | W63–10 | −36.5−36.5 | W | +0.83 | 54% | 27% | 100% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.83 · SR 54% · O 52.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   TempleTemple | W49–48 | −5−5 | L | +0.09 | 51% | 40% | 40% | O 48.5 | — | |
EPA +0.09 · SR 51% · O 48.5WE 40% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   San Diego StateSan Diego State | W41–16 | −3−3 | W | +0.88 | 45% | 23% | 90% | O 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.88 · SR 45% · O 50.5WE 90% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Ball Stateat Ball State | W39–24 | −21−21 | L | +0.13 | 43% | 38% | 77% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.13 · SR 43% · O 52.5WE 77% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   BuffaloBuffalo | L8–23 | −18.5−18.5 | L | −0.14 | 34% | 34% | 11% | U 54.5 | — | |
EPA −0.14 · SR 34% · U 54.5WE 11% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at Eastern Michiganat Eastern Michigan | W34–14 | −7.5−7.5 | W | +0.43 | 49% | 27% | 85% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA +0.43 · SR 49% · U 51.5WE 85% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   Western MichiganWestern MichiganNEXT | SAT 12:00 CBSSNSAT 12:00 | −3−3 | — | — | — | — | 63% | 47 | −5.6 | |
MODEL −5.6 · TOTAL 47WP 63% | |||||||||||
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   at Sacramento Stateat Sacramento State | NOV 4NOV 4 | —−22.5 | 91% | −22.5 | ||||||
MODEL −22.5WP 91% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   MassachusettsMassachusetts | NOV 11NOV 11 | —−12 | 77% | −12 | ||||||
MODEL −12WP 77% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   Bowling GreenBowling Green | NOV 20NOV 20 | —−17.8 | 86% | −17.8 | ||||||
MODEL −17.8WP 86% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Ohioat Ohio | NOV 27NOV 27 | —−2.5 | 56% | −2.5 | ||||||
MODEL −2.5WP 56% | |||||||||||