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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

American · 4-4 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 4-4 · O/U 4-4

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

HC Tre Lamb (2nd yr) · OC Kevin Barbay · DC Josh Reardon

STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (5 OF 8) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 97%

Power rating−0.878th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.4of 12
Fan pulse—4 of 30 scored

American · 4-4 · 1-3 CONF · ATS 4-4 · O/U 4-4

Tulsa

Golden Hurricane · HC Tre Lamb (2nd yr) · starts in 12 (5 of 8) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−0.878th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.4of 12
Fan pulse—4 of 30 scored

Tulsa

4-4 · 1-3 American

POWER RATING−0.878th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.4of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT

4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%

FAN PULSE—4 of 30 scored

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Latest from the beat

TULSA · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Tulsa schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1Oklahoma StateOklahoma StateW24–10+13.5+13.5W+0.4041%36%83%5630.7
2at Sam Houstonat Sam HoustonW23–17−12−12L0.0033%44%65%7024.3
3East Texas A&MEast Texas A&MW42–0−41.5−41.5W+0.6452%33%100%6826.7
4at Arkansasat ArkansasL6–34+7+7L−0.2830%40%5%5524.7
5North TexasNorth TexasL44–45+2+2W−0.0842%41%50%7921.4
6at Navyat NavyL26–34+3+3L−0.0431%48%34%6522.3
7at Riceat RiceW38–17−3.5−3.5W+0.2948%44%88%6330.4
8ArmyArmyL35–38+1.5+1.5L———54%——
9BYE
10at Tulaneat TulaneNEXTTBATBA+1.5 proj+1.5————46%——
11Florida AtlanticFlorida AtlanticNOV 14NOV 14−4.8 proj−4.861%
12CharlotteCharlotteNOV 21NOV 21−18.1 proj−18.186%
13at UTSAat UTSANOV 28NOV 28+2.9 proj+2.943%

Success rate by down & distance

1st67%n 380%n 540%n 1960%n 4
2nd75%n 2447%n 3230%n 8412%n 17
3rd58%n 2438%n 2616%n 3124%n 25
4th83%n 12100%n 6100%n 10%n 2

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 489 OF 492 PLAYS489 OF 492 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun97%97%54%+0.1340%
Under center3%3%31%+0.3750%
No-huddle70%70%53%+0.1341%
Huddle30%30%53%+0.1638%
StartersSTARTERS
125 of 8 games112 of 8BASE D4-2-55 of 8
125 of 84-2-5base D · 5 of 8

In shotgun on 97 % of tagged snaps, passing 54 % of the time (+0.13 EPA a play; +0.37 under center). No-huddle on 70 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 5 of 8 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (5 of 8).

Next game

TBA · YULMAN STADIUMTBA

at TulaneLINE—MODEL+1.5WP46%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
American crews−0.6 to +0.2 · 46 games−0.2−0.6 to +0.246NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 3 games+1.2—3NOISE
Pac-12 crews— · 2 games+2.7—2NOISE
SEC crews— · 2 games+1.6—2NOISE
MAC crews— · 1 game+0.4—1NOISE
Mountain West crews— · 1 game+1.4—1NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTKevin Randall−1.8 / g · 4 games · noise−1.8 / g · 4 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTCharles Lamertina+1.7 / g · 3 games · noise+1.7 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Tulsa than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 8 of 9 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 8 of 9 games · + = more on Tulsa than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Tulsa offense statistics
MetricStat
TulsaTLSA
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.0667th+0.06
Success rate38.8%113th42.3%
Explosiveness1.3912th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.1428th+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.0692nd+0.11
Passing downs SR27.3%128th31.1%
Line yards3.2758th3.21
Sack rate allowed4.0%47th5.3%
3rd-down conversion32%125th41%
Points / opportunity5.1118th4.27
Red zone TD rate74%21st63%
Seconds / play25.522nd28.0