Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston

WKUWestern Kentucky

163-4 · 2-1 C-USA

FINAL

SHSUSam Houston

31-5 · 0-2 C-USA

WKU −1.5 COVERUNDER 53.5MODEL EDGE MISS

PREGAME WP WKU 37%→POSTGAME WE WKU 81%

Elliott T. Bowers Stadium · 7,291

Win probability · full game

WKU LOW 55% · Q1 14:03 · EXCITEMENT INDEX 3.9

Ranked by |win probability added|

1
Glenn 23-yd TD to Arends
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short left to #87 C.Arends caught at SAM07, for 23 yards to the SAM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:06, 1ST DOWN #99 K.Campbell kick attempt good (H: #43 J.Smith, LS: #49 N.Imhoff)
Q1 10:12 · 2nd & 10 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.2 EPA
Q1 10:12 · 0–0 → 7–0 · +3.2 EPA
+.13
2
Dowdy 15-yd run
(05:56) Shotgun #20 M.Dowdy rush right for 15 yards gain to the SAM18 (#32 W.Ard; #6 J.Brown), 1ST DOWN
Q1 5:56 · 2nd & 9 SHSU 3 · +2.0 EPA
Q1 5:56 · 2nd & 9 SHSU 3 · +2.0 EPA
−.12
3
Ard sacks Locke, −10
(01:03) Shotgun #8 L.Locke sacked for loss of 10 yards to the WKU35 (#32 W.Ard)
Q1 1:03 · 3rd & 10 WKU 25 · −2.6 SHSU EPA
Q1 1:03 · 3rd & 10 WKU 25 · −2.6 SHSU EPA
+.09
4
Newsome intercepts Locke
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 L.Locke pass intercepted by #2 T.Newsome Jr. at WKU38 #2 T.Newsome Jr. return 22 yards to the SAM40 (#5 K.Berry-Johnson)
Q4 13:31 · 3rd & 10 SHSU 40 · −3.4 SHSU EPA
Q4 13:31 · 3rd & 10 SHSU 40 · −3.4 SHSU EPA
+.08
5
Smith 39-yd punt
(06:43) #43 J.Smith punt 39 yards to the SAM02
Q1 6:43 · 4th & 7 SHSU 41 · +0.8 EPA
Q1 6:43 · 4th & 7 SHSU 41 · +0.8 EPA
+.07

Total · game