Bowling Green
2-52-5 · 2-1 MAC · ATS 3-4
3:30 PM ET
Sat, Oct 24 · ESPN+
UB Stadium · Amherst
WIN PROB
61%
BUFF
Buffalo
4-34-3 · 2-1 MAC · ATS 3-4
- Spread
- BUFF −3
- Open −4.5 · −110
- Total
- 44.5
- Open 44 · o −110
- Model line
- BUFF −4.6+1.6
- Model total 46.5
- Win probability
- 61%
- Projected score
- 21.0 – 25.6
- BGSU – BUFF
- Projected plays
- 131
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- BUFF −3
- open −4.5
- Model
- −4.6+1.6
- BUFF
- Total
- 44.5
- model 46.5
| Market · consensusMarket | Open | Now | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
Spread BUFFSTEAM · 4 BOOKSRLM | −4.5 | −3 | −4.6 |
TotalSTEAM · 4 BOOKS | 44.0 | 44.5 | 46.5 |
Moneyline BUFF | −185 | −158 | −156 |
Line movement
−4
−3.5
−3
−4.6MODEL- SUN 4:17PTotal 43.5 → 44.5
- MON 11:00ASpread −4.5 → −3.5STEAM · 4 BOOKS
- MON 11:14ASpread −4.5 → −3.5
- SAT 2:15ASpread −4.5 → −3 · 72% tickets BUFFSpread −4.5 → −3 · 72% on BUFFRLM
Steam = 4+ books in 5 min. RLM = line moves against the ticket majority.
Bet splits
DRAFTKINGS · VIA DK NETWORK
BGSU +3 · 28% / 43%BUFF −3 · 72% / 57%
Over · 100% / 100%Under · 0% / 0%
DraftKings bettors, as of 3:00 AM ET. Top bar tickets, bottom bar handle. A 15-pt gap on BGSU suggests larger, sharper bets.