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SAT 3:30 · ESPN+ · AMHERST
Bowling Green
2-52-5 · 2-1 MAC · ATS 3-4
3:30 PM ET
Sat, Oct 24 · ESPN+
UB Stadium · Amherst
WIN PROB
61%
BUFF
Buffalo
4-34-3 · 2-1 MAC · ATS 3-4
Spread
BUFF −3
Open −4.5 · −110
Total
44.5
Open 44 · o −110
Model line
BUFF −4.6+1.6
Model total 46.5
Win probability
61%
Projected score
21.0 – 25.6
BGSU – BUFF
Projected plays
131
FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
Spread
BUFF −3
open −4.5
Model
−4.6+1.6
BUFF
Total
44.5
model 46.5

Tempo & tendencies

SEASON TO DATE · NEUTRAL = WP 20–80%SEASON TO DATE

Tempo and tendencies, Bowling Green and Buffalo, season to date
MetricBGSUBGSUBUFFBUFFFBS avgFBS
Seconds per play · neutralSeconds per play · neutral33.224.328.9
Plays per gamePlays per game57.074.165.7
Pass rate · neutralPass rate · neutral44.8%44.1%47.9%
Pass rate over expected (PROE) · neutral, dropbacks vs xPassPass rate over expectedPROE · NEUTRAL · vs xPASS−6.2%−7.8%−1.9%
Early-down pass rate · neutralEarly-down pass rate · neutral39.9%39.6%44.6%
4th-down go rate · all situations4th-down go rate · all situations16%17%27%
Time of possessionTime of possession30:1131:5430:11
Avg starting field positionAvg starting field positionOwn 29.0Own 30.1Own 29.8

Neutral = WP 20–80%