Georgia State
4-24-2 · 1-1 Sun Belt · ATS 5-1
7:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 24 · ESPN+
Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro
WIN PROB
53%
GAST
Arkansas State
3-43-4 · 1-2 Sun Belt · ATS 3-4
- Spread
- GAST −2.5
- Open −1.5 · −115
- Total
- 58.5
- Open 56 · o −112
- Model line
- GAST −1.1+1.4
- Model total 57.5
- Win probability
- 53%
- Projected score
- 29.3 – 28.2
- GAST – ARST
- Projected plays
- 130
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- GAST −2.5
- open −1.5
- Model
- −1.1+1.4
- GAST
- Total
- 58.5
- model 57.5
Tempo & tendencies
SEASON TO DATE · NEUTRAL = WP 20–80%SEASON TO DATE
| Metric |   GASTGAST |   ARSTARST | FBS avgFBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seconds per play · neutralSeconds per play · neutral | 28.4 | 31.5 | 28.9 |
| Plays per gamePlays per game | 68.3 | 61.1 | 65.7 |
| Pass rate · neutralPass rate · neutral | 44.0% | 51.3% | 47.9% |
| Pass rate over expected (PROE) · neutral, dropbacks vs xPassPass rate over expectedPROE · NEUTRAL · vs xPASS | −5.8% | +2.1% | −1.9% |
| Early-down pass rate · neutralEarly-down pass rate · neutral | 37.7% | 46.0% | 44.6% |
| 4th-down go rate · all situations4th-down go rate · all situations | 32% | 21% | 27% |
| Time of possessionTime of possession | 30:09 | 30:30 | 30:11 |
| Avg starting field positionAvg starting field position | Own 29.8 | Own 30.5 | Own 29.8 |
Neutral = WP 20–80%