

Georgia State
4-24-2 · 1-1 Sun Belt · ATS 5-1
7:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 24 · ESPN+
Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro
WIN PROB
53%
GAST


Arkansas State
3-43-4 · 1-2 Sun Belt · ATS 3-4
- Spread
- GAST −2.5
- Open −1.5 · −115
- Total
- 58.5
- Open 56 · o −112
- Model line
- GAST −1.1+1.4
- Model total 57.5
- Win probability
- 53%
- Projected score
- 29.3 – 28.2
- GAST – ARST
- Projected plays
- 130
- FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
- Spread
- GAST −2.5
- open −1.5
- Model
- −1.1+1.4
- GAST
- Total
- 58.5
- model 57.5
Previous meetings
ARKANSAS STATE LEADS 7–2 SINCE 2013
| Season | Week | Site | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Week 12 | at Georgia State | 27–20 | |
| 2021 | Week 12 | at Georgia State | 28–20 | |
| 2020 | Week 7 | at Arkansas State | 59–52 | |
| 2019 | Week 6 | at Georgia State | 52–38 | |
| 2018 | Week 8 | at Arkansas State | 51–35 | |
| 2016 | Week 10 | at Georgia State | 31–16 | |
| 2015 | Week 9 | at Arkansas State | 48–34 | |
| 2014 | Week 7 | at Georgia State | 52–10 | |
| 2013 | Week 13 | at Arkansas State | 35–33 |
Recent form
LAST FIVE FINALS · CLOSING LINES · NET EPA / PLAY
| WK | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | Net EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | @ | 22–49L | +7.5L | 57.5O | −0.60 |
| 5 | vs | 42–10W | −2W | 51.5O | +0.87 |
| 4 | vs | 35–14W | −9W | 56.5U | +0.06 |
| 3 | @ | 30–44L | +17.5W | 50.5O | −0.20 |
| 2 | @ | 31–17W | +7.5W | 55.5U | +0.28 |
| WK | Opponent | Result | ATS | O/U | Net EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | @ | 23–13W | −5.5W | 61.5U | +0.12 |
| 6 | vs | 49–56L | −3L | 60.5O | −0.12 |
| 5 | @ | 20–23L | +5.5W | 49U | −0.11 |
| 4 | vs | 17–14W | −6.5L | 53.5U | +0.17 |
| 3 | @ | 7–31L | +19L | 56.5U | −0.49 |

