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SAT 3:00 · ESPN+ · GREENVILLE
Temple
2-52-5 · 1-2 American · ATS 4-2-1
3:00 PM ET
Sat, Oct 31 · ESPN+
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville
WIN PROB
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East Carolina
3-43-4 · 1-2 American · ATS 3-4
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Total
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Model line
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Win probability
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Projected score
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Projected plays
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FBS avg 131 · 28.9 s/play
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Model
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Total
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Where the model sees the game

EPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED · GARBAGE TIME OUTEPA / PLAY VS FBS MEAN · OPP-ADJUSTED

Where the model sees the game: unit gaps and their model impact
Unit vs defenseOffense gainsOffDefense allowsDefPlaysModel impactImpact
Temple passvs East Carolina pass Dvs ECU pass DBIGGEST EDGE
79th−0.0334th−0.0727ECU +3.9
East Carolina passvs Temple pass Dvs TEM pass D
109th−0.08128th+0.1532ECU +2.9
East Carolina runvs Temple run Dvs TEM run D
99th−0.04115th+0.0736ECU +1.3
Temple runvs East Carolina run Dvs ECU run D
26th+0.0828th−0.0741TEM +0.6

BIGGEST EDGE · ECU +3.9

The East Carolina pass defense vs Temple's passing game

Temple gains +0.08 EPA a play on the pass (79th); East Carolina allows +0.05 (34th). About 27 such plays projected. OFFENSE / DEFENSE columns are EPA a play above the FBS mean; negative defense is stingier.

OFF = EPA/play gained above the FBS mean, DEF = allowed above it (negative is stingier). Impact = model points.

OffenseEast Carolina
ECU OFF

When East Carolina has the ball

DefenseTemple
TEM DEF
  • −0.04110thEPA / play128th+0.20
  • 38.1%126thSuccess rate127th47.3%
  • 1.3341stExplosiveness92nd1.32
  • +0.0399thRush EPA / play115th+0.14
  • +0.03109thPass EPA / dropback128th+0.26
  • 44.1%118thStandard downs SR98th49.5%
  • 27.8%117thPassing downs SR136th37.1%
  • 3.0698thLine yards60th3.02
  • 15.0%100thHavoc rate136th9.2%
  • 3.58115thPoints / opportunity109th4.61
  • 54%107thRed zone TD rate102nd68%

East Carolina's offense rates higher in 7 of 11. Widest gap: explosiveness (41st vs 92nd).

OffenseTemple
TEM OFF

When Temple has the ball

DefenseEast Carolina
ECU DEF
  • +0.0668thEPA / play37th0.00
  • 40.7%85thSuccess rate30th39.1%
  • 1.3249thExplosiveness100th1.33
  • +0.1426thRush EPA / play28th0.00
  • +0.0879thPass EPA / dropback34th+0.05
  • 46.3%80thStandard downs SR19th43.3%
  • 30.0%89thPassing downs SR82nd31.3%
  • 3.5818thLine yards5th2.46
  • 11.3%27thHavoc rate11th18.4%
  • 3.9789thPoints / opportunity90th4.27
  • 61%81stRed zone TD rate60th58%

East Carolina's defense rates higher in 8 of 11. Widest gap: standard-downs success rate (80th vs 19th).

Tempo & tendencies

SEASON TO DATE · NEUTRAL = WP 20–80%SEASON TO DATE

Tempo and tendencies, Temple and East Carolina, season to date
MetricTEMTEMECUECUFBS avgFBS
Seconds per play · neutralSeconds per play · neutral30.125.128.9
Plays per gamePlays per game58.166.465.7
Pass rate · neutralPass rate · neutral39.6%46.9%47.9%
Pass rate over expected (PROE) · neutral, dropbacks vs xPassPass rate over expectedPROE · NEUTRAL · vs xPASS−11.1%−2.4%−1.9%
Early-down pass rate · neutralEarly-down pass rate · neutral36.0%40.7%44.6%
4th-down go rate · all situations4th-down go rate · all situations21%23%27%
Time of possessionTime of possession29:1727:1430:11
Avg starting field positionAvg starting field positionOwn 27.9Own 29.0Own 29.8

Neutral = WP 20–80%

All tempo →

Injury report

AMERICAN AVAILABILITY · DUE ~SAT · IMPACT = PTS VS REPLACEMENT × P(OUT)

Temple

AMERICAN REPORT EXPECTED ~SAT (GD)% TO PLAYIMPACT
No report yetAMERICAN REPORT EXPECTED ~SAT (GD)
Week 7 game-day report2 OUT FOR SEASON · 7 OUT · 6 QUESTIONABLE

East Carolina

AMERICAN REPORT EXPECTED ~SAT (GD)% TO PLAYIMPACT
No report yetAMERICAN REPORT EXPECTED ~SAT (GD)
Week 8 game-day report8 OUT · 2 QUESTIONABLE

Broadcast

ESPN+
CrewTBA

Conditions & crew

KICKOFF FORECAST

Temp
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mph
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Precip
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Surface
Grass
RefereeCrew TBA
RestTEM 14d · ECU 9dTEM OFF BYE