American · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 2-5
East Carolina Pirates
HC Blake Harrell (2nd yr) · OC Jordan Davis · DC Jordon Hankins
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 7) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 96%
American · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 2-5
East Carolina
Pirates · HC Blake Harrell (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 7) · base D 3-3-5
East Carolina
3-4 · 1-2 American
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 3% · title 1%
Latest from the beat
EAST CAROLINA · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Alabamaat Alabama | L10–48 | +28.5+28.5 | L | −0.65 | 29% | 59% | 3% | 41 | 29.3 | |
| 2 |   App StateApp State | L24–27 | −6.5−6.5 | L | +0.04 | 48% | 38% | 43% | 73 | 20.6 | |
| 3 |   at Old Dominionat Old Dominion | W20–17 | +2.5+2.5 | W | −0.02 | 28% | 27% | 55% | 65 | 18.3 | |
| 4 |   North Carolina CentralNorth Carolina Central | W42–9 | −37.5−37.5 | L | +1.32 | 66% | 10% | 95% | 59 | 22.5 | |
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   RiceRice | W28–12 | −10−10 | W | +0.33 | 32% | 26% | 80% | 74 | 26.3 | |
| 7 |   at UABat UAB | L17–30 | −5.5−5.5 | L | −0.23 | 36% | 36% | 24% | 77 | 27.9 | |
| 8 |   at Memphisat Memphis | L34–41 | +10.5+10.5 | W | −0.11 | 33% | 48% | 35% | 76 | 23.9 | |
| 9 |   TempleTempleNEXT | SAT 3:00 ESPN+SAT 3:00 | −9.2 proj−9.2 | — | — | — | — | 71% | — | — | |
| 10 |   South FloridaSouth Florida | NOV 6NOV 6 | +0.7 proj+0.7 | 48% | |||||||
| 11 |   at Charlotteat Charlotte | NOV 14NOV 14 | −13.6 proj−13.6 | 79% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Armyat Army | NOV 21NOV 21 | +3.5 proj+3.5 | 42% | |||||||
| 13 |   Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic | NOV 27NOV 27 | −5 proj−5 | 62% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 393 OF 414 PLAYS393 OF 414 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun96% | 96% | 48% | −0.06 | 38% |
| Under center4% | 4% | 41% | +0.32 | 29% |
| No-huddle95% | 95% | 47% | −0.07 | 38% |
| Huddle5% | 5% | 47% | +0.37 | 37% |
In shotgun on 96 % of tagged snaps, passing 48 % of the time (−0.06 EPA a play; +0.32 under center). No-huddle on 95 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 6 of 7 games. Base defense 3-3-5 (7 of 7).
Next game
SAT 3:00 ESPN+ · DOWDY-FICKLEN STADIUMSAT 3:00 ESPN+
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American crews−0.6 to +0.2 · 45 games | −0.2 | −0.6 to +0.2 | 45 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 4 games | +1.7 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| Sun Belt crews— · 3 games | +2.4 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 1 game | 0.0 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 1 game | −2.0 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 1 game | +4.2 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 1 game | −2.0 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | −2.9 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on East Carolina than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on East Carolina than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | East CarolinaECU | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | −0.04 | 108th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 38.1% | 127th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.33 | 41st | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.03 | 99th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.03 | 110th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 27.9% | 117th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.06 | 97th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 5.1% | 77th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33% | 121st | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 3.58 | 115th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 54% | 107th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 24.5 | 11th | 28.0 |