American · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 2-5
East Carolina Pirates
HC Blake Harrell (2nd yr) · OC Jordan Davis · DC Jordon Hankins
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (6 OF 7) · BASE D 3-3-5 · SHOTGUN 96%
Power rating−0.674th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.0of 12
Fan pulse—10 of 30 scored
American · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 2-5
East Carolina
Pirates · HC Blake Harrell (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (6 of 7) · base D 3-3-5
Power rating−0.674th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.0of 12
Fan pulse—10 of 30 scored
East Carolina
3-4 · 1-2 American
POWER RATING−0.674th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.0of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 3% · title 1%
FAN PULSE—10 of 30 scored
RECORD3-4
ATS · O/U3-4 · 2-5
POSTGAME WE · AVG48%3.3 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.0483rd FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Alabamaat Alabama | L10–48 | +28.5+28.5 | L | −0.65 | 29% | 59% | 3% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA −0.65 · SR 29% · O 52.5WE 3% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   App StateApp State | L24–27 | −6.5−6.5 | L | +0.04 | 48% | 38% | 43% | U 56 | — | |
EPA +0.04 · SR 48% · U 56WE 43% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Old Dominionat Old Dominion | W20–17 | +2.5+2.5 | W | −0.02 | 28% | 27% | 55% | U 49 | — | |
EPA −0.02 · SR 28% · U 49WE 55% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   North Carolina CentralNorth Carolina Central | W42–9 | −37.5−37.5 | L | +1.32 | 66% | 10% | 95% | U 58.5 | — | |
EPA +1.32 · SR 66% · U 58.5WE 95% | |||||||||||
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   RiceRice | W28–12 | −10−10 | W | +0.33 | 32% | 26% | 80% | U 46.5 | — | |
EPA +0.33 · SR 32% · U 46.5WE 80% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at UABat UAB | L17–30 | −5.5−5.5 | L | −0.23 | 36% | 36% | 24% | U 49.5 | — | |
EPA −0.23 · SR 36% · U 49.5WE 24% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at Memphisat Memphis | L34–41 | +10.5+10.5 | W | −0.11 | 33% | 48% | 35% | O 55.5 | — | |
EPA −0.11 · SR 33% · O 55.5WE 35% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   TempleTempleNEXT | SAT 3:00 ESPN+SAT 3:00 | —−9.1 | — | — | — | — | 71% | — | −9.1 | |
MODEL −9.1WP 71% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   South FloridaSouth Florida | NOV 6NOV 6 | —+0.7 | 48% | +0.7 | ||||||
MODEL +0.7WP 48% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Charlotteat Charlotte | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−13.6 | 79% | −13.6 | ||||||
MODEL −13.6WP 79% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Armyat Army | NOV 21NOV 21 | —+3.6 | 41% | +3.6 | ||||||
MODEL +3.6WP 41% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic | NOV 27NOV 27 | —−5 | 62% | −5 | ||||||
MODEL −5WP 62% | |||||||||||