#11 · 8-1 · 5-1 ACC · ATS 7-2
Wake Forest
#11 · 8-1
Kickoff in26:53:51
12:00 PM ET · ESPN · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
#25 · 7-2 · 5-2 ACC · ATS 3-4-2
SMU
#25 · 7-2
12:00 PM ET · ESPN · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
59° · 15 mph ESE · 0% rain
- Spread
- SMU −1.5SMU −1.5
- ▼ 4.5 · THU 12:30A▼ 4.5 · THU 12:30A
- Total
- 60.560.5
- Model 56.9Model 56.9
- Model lineModel
- WAKE −4.1−4.1
- Model total 56.9WAKEModel edge 5.6 pts on WAKE vs the consensus now
- Win probability
- 60%60%
- WAKEWAKE
- At kickoff
- 59°59°
- 15 mph ESE · 0% rain15 mph ESE · 0% rain
- Projected plays
- 132132
- FBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/playFBS avg 131 · 28.7 s/play
Where the model sees the game
Largest unit mismatches- 01
Wake Forest's passing game vs the SMU pass defense
Wake Forest gains +0.31 EPA a play on the pass (7th); SMU allows +0.05 (41st). About 35 such plays projected.
WAKE +8.1Model impact - 02
SMU's passing game vs the Wake Forest pass defense
SMU gains +0.33 EPA a play on the pass (5th); Wake Forest allows +0.01 (25th). About 34 such plays projected.
SMU +7.0Model impact - 03
The Wake Forest run defense vs SMU's run game
SMU gains +0.06 EPA a play on the run (72nd); Wake Forest allows −0.03 (12th). About 32 such plays projected.
WAKE +5.5Model impact
Late news
Auto-updatingHall probable
WAKE LB · Q → P
WAKE availability report
Update 1 · conf:acc
SMU availability report
Update 1 · conf:acc
Total down to 60.5
LINE MOVE · TOTAL · 61.5 → 60.5 · 20 books
Spread to SMU −1.5
REVERSE LINE MOVE · SPREAD · SMU +3 → −1.5 · 12 books
WAKE availability report
Initial · conf:acc
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