reportedThe Appalachian football@Max Schwanz and Parker Egeland
1dUnconfirmed tip on London’s status.
James London · KCHECKING
Sun Belt · 5-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 4-3
App State Mountaineers
HC Dowell Loggains (2nd yr) · OC Mike Anthony · DC DJ Smith
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (6 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%
Power rating−1.983rd
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.0of 12
Fan pulse—4 of 30 scored
Sun Belt · 5-2 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 5-2 · O/U 4-3
App State
Mountaineers · HC Dowell Loggains (2nd yr) · starts in 12 (6 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating−1.983rd
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.0of 12
Fan pulse—4 of 30 scored
App State
5-2 · 2-1 Sun Belt
POWER RATING−1.983rd in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS8.0of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 15% · title 7%
FAN PULSE—4 of 30 scored
Latest from the beat
APP STATE · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →reportedThe Appalachian football@Max Schwanz and Parker Egeland
1dUnconfirmed tip on London’s status.
James London · KCHECKING
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   MaineMaine | W55–3 | −21−21 | W | +0.96 | 57% | 22% | 100% | 72 | 28.9 | |
| 2 |   at East Carolinaat East Carolina | W27–24 | +6.5+6.5 | W | −0.04 | 38% | 48% | 57% | 71 | 27.6 | |
| 3 |   CharlotteCharlotte | W26–21 | −16.5−16.5 | L | +0.34 | 42% | 31% | 81% | 73 | 25.9 | |
| 4 |   at NC Stateat NC State | L31–41 | +13+13 | W | −0.12 | 38% | 53% | 24% | 60 | 24.3 | |
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   Old DominionOld Dominion | L3–10 | −8.5−8.5 | L | −0.30 | 26% | 34% | 35% | 54 | 21.4 | |
| 7 |   at Coastal Carolinaat Coastal Carolina | W35–32 | −1.5−1.5 | W | +0.14 | 53% | 51% | 59% | 75 | 26.0 | |
| 8 |   James MadisonJames Madison | W34–31 | +12.5+12.5 | W | +0.03 | 42% | 39% | 66% | 73 | 27.2 | |
| 9 |   at Georgia Southernat Georgia SouthernNEXT | SAT 6:30 ESPN+SAT 6:30 | +4.3 proj+4.3 | — | — | — | — | 40% | — | — | |
| 10 |   Georgia StateGeorgia State | NOV 7NOV 7 | −3.2 proj−3.2 | 58% | |||||||
| 11 |   at Marshallat Marshall | NOV 14NOV 14 | −4.3 proj−4.3 | 60% | |||||||
| 12 |   UL MonroeUL Monroe | NOV 21NOV 21 | −16.7 proj−16.7 | 84% | |||||||
| 13 |   at South Alabamaat South Alabama | NOV 27NOV 27 | −1 proj−1 | 52% |
Success rate by down & distance
1st75%n 467%n 342%n 19060%n 5
2nd60%n 1542%n 3851%n 689%n 22
3rd67%n 2137%n 3030%n 2713%n 16
4th67%n 90%n 2—n 0—n 0
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 447 OF 450 PLAYS447 OF 450 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun100% | 100% | 52% | +0.10 | 42% |
| Under center0% | 0% | 50% | −0.98 | 50% |
| No-huddle62% | 62% | 55% | +0.11 | 43% |
| Huddle38% | 38% | 48% | +0.08 | 42% |
StartersSTARTERS
126 of 7 games111 of 7BASE D4-2-54 of 7
126 of 74-2-5base D · 4 of 7
In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 52 % of the time (+0.10 EPA a play; −0.98 under center). No-huddle on 62 %. Starts in 12 personnel in 6 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 7).
Next game
SAT 6:30 ESPN+ · ALLEN E. PAULSON STADIUMSAT 6:30 ESPN+
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Belt crews−0.5 to +0.3 · 42 games | −0.1 | −0.5 to +0.3 | 42 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 4 games | +1.5 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 3 games | +1.5 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 2 games | −1.7 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 2 games | −0.6 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 1 game | +0.4 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | −0.2 | — | 1 | NOISE |
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTTrennis Livingston−1.9 / g · 4 games · noise−1.9 / g · 4 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTScott Broadway+0.9 / g · 3 games · noise+0.9 / g · 3 g · noise
+ = more judgment flags on App State than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on App State than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
QB · #3 · SRMalachi Singleton+0.28EPA/dropback · 42ndCPOE+3.2aDOT9.0Sack %3.7%RB · #5 · SOJaquari Lewis45.1%rush SR · 105thYards per carry5.1Explosive rate14.6%Rush EPA+0.14WR · #0 · SOSam Pickett III1.98YPTPA · 84thTarget share23.8%EPA / target+0.50aDOT14.0DL · #41 · SRCaleb Sandstrom9havoc plays · 21stTFL7Sacks4Forced fumbles0
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | App StateAPP | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.05 | 71st | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 40.9% | 81st | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.28 | 76th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | −0.02 | 122nd | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.16 | 46th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 31.8% | 51st | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 2.90 | 118th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 4.2% | 52nd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38% | 87th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 4.22 | 71st | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 72% | 28th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 26.1 | 34th | 28.0 |