Pac-12 · #21 AP · 5-1 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 5-1
Boise State Broncos
HC Spencer Danielson (3rd yr) · OC Nate Potter · DC Erik Chinander
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 58%
Power rating7.527th
CFP odds23%−1
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.8of 11
Fan pulse—2 of 30 scored
Pac-12 · #21 AP · 5-1 · 2-0 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 5-1
Boise State
Broncos · HC Spencer Danielson (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating7.527th
CFP odds · outlook23%−1NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.8of 11
Fan pulse—2 of 30 scored
Boise State
#21 · 5-1 · 2-0 Pac-12
POWER RATING7.527th in FBS
CFP ODDS23%−1 this week
PROJ. WINS8.8of 11 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
1 loss now · CFP 23% in sims · CCG 85% · title 50%
FAN PULSE—2 of 30 scored
RECORD5-1
ATS · O/U3-3 · 5-1
POSTGAME WE · AVG78%4.7 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1429th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Oregonat Oregon | L27–34 | +25+25 | W | −0.08 | 38% | 47% | 51% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA −0.08 · SR 38% · O 52.5WE 51% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   MemphisMemphis | W38–20 | −9.5−9.5 | W | +0.30 | 50% | 35% | 81% | O 54.5 | — | |
EPA +0.30 · SR 50% · O 54.5WE 81% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   South DakotaSouth Dakota | W38–24 | −28.5−28.5 | L | +0.43 | 59% | 24% | 81% | O 61 | — | |
EPA +0.43 · SR 59% · O 61WE 81% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Western Michiganat Western Michigan | W32–7 | −8.5−8.5 | W | +0.62 | 52% | 39% | 96% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.62 · SR 52% · U 50.5WE 96% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   Utah StateUtah State | W37–18 | −19.5−19.5 | L | +0.31 | 45% | 32% | 88% | O 51 | — | |
EPA +0.31 · SR 45% · O 51WE 88% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Fresno Stateat Fresno State | W38–31 | −8.5−8.5 | L | +0.04 | 47% | 49% | 74% | O 48.5 | — | |
EPA +0.04 · SR 47% · O 48.5WE 74% | |||||||||||
| 7 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 8 |   at Washington Stateat Washington StateNEXT | SAT 6:00 USA NetworkSAT 6:00 | −14.5−14.5 | — | — | — | — | 77% | 53.5 | −12.2 | |
MODEL −12.2 · TOTAL 53.5WP 77% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   Texas StateTexas State | OCT 31OCT 31 | —−9.5 | 72% | −9.5 | ||||||
MODEL −9.5WP 72% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at Colorado Stateat Colorado State | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−16.2 | 84% | −16.2 | ||||||
MODEL −16.2WP 84% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   Oregon StateOregon State | NOV 14NOV 14 | —−4.3 | 60% | −4.3 | ||||||
MODEL −4.3WP 60% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   San Diego StateSan Diego State | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−18.3 | 87% | −18.3 | ||||||
MODEL −18.3WP 87% | |||||||||||