MAC · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
Buffalo Bulls
HC Pete Lembo (2nd yr) · OC Tony Tokarz · DC Brian Dougherty
STARTS IN 01 PERSONNEL (3 OF 7) · BASE D 4-3-4 · SHOTGUN 98%
Power rating−10.9126th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.5of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
MAC · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4
Buffalo
Bulls · HC Pete Lembo (2nd yr) · starts in 01 (3 of 7) · base D 4-3-4
Power rating−10.9126th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins6.5of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
Buffalo
4-3 · 2-1 MAC
POWER RATING−10.9126th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 8% · title 2%
FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored
RECORD4-3
ATS · O/U3-4 · 3-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG49%3.5 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.21128th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   UAlbanyUAlbany | W21–17 | −18.5−18.5 | L | +0.07 | 40% | 29% | 62% | U 47.5 | — | |
EPA +0.07 · SR 40% · U 47.5WE 62% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   at Florida Internationalat Florida International | L20–33 | +9+9 | L | −0.10 | 25% | 39% | 36% | O 47.5 | — | |
EPA −0.10 · SR 25% · O 47.5WE 36% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Penn Stateat Penn State | L13–55 | +40+40 | L | −0.89 | 11% | 44% | 1% | O 48.5 | — | |
EPA −0.89 · SR 11% · O 48.5WE 1% | |||||||||||
| 4 |  Robert MorrisRobert Morris | W31–28 | −28−28 | L | 0.00 | 44% | 30% | 56% | O 46.5 | — | |
EPA 0.00 · SR 44% · O 46.5WE 56% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   Western MichiganWestern Michigan | L17–20 | +13.5+13.5 | W | −0.11 | 43% | 48% | 38% | U 46.5 | — | |
EPA −0.11 · SR 43% · U 46.5WE 38% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Toledoat Toledo | W23–8 | +18.5+18.5 | W | +0.14 | 34% | 34% | 89% | U 54.5 | — | |
EPA +0.14 · SR 34% · U 54.5WE 89% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   MassachusettsMassachusetts | W25–18 | −6.5−6.5 | W | −0.12 | 38% | 42% | 64% | U 43.5 | — | |
EPA −0.12 · SR 38% · U 43.5WE 64% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   Bowling GreenBowling GreenNEXT | SAT 3:30 ESPN+SAT 3:30 | −3−3 | — | — | — | — | 61% | 44.5 | −4.6 | |
MODEL −4.6 · TOTAL 44.5WP 61% | |||||||||||
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   at Miami (OH)at Miami (OH) | NOV 3NOV 3 | —+10.2 | 27% | +10.2 | ||||||
MODEL +10.2WP 27% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Ball Stateat Ball State | NOV 11NOV 11 | —+0.6 | 49% | +0.6 | ||||||
MODEL +0.6WP 49% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   Central MichiganCentral Michigan | NOV 18NOV 18 | —−1.3 | 53% | −1.3 | ||||||
MODEL −1.3WP 53% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Akronat Akron | NOV 27NOV 27 | —−3 | 57% | −3 | ||||||
MODEL −3WP 57% | |||||||||||