C-USA · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 3-4

Florida International Panthers

HC Willie Simmons (2nd yr) · OC Nick Coleman · DC Jovan Dewitt

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 87%

Power rating−4.295th

CFP odds0%—

PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT

Proj. wins5.7of 12

Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

C-USA · 3-4 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 3-4

Florida International

Panthers · HC Willie Simmons (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 7) · base D 4-2-5

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Power rating−4.295th

CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT

Proj. wins5.7of 12

Fan pulse—0 of 30 scored

Florida International

3-4 · 1-2 C-USA

POWER RATING−4.295th in FBS

CFP ODDS0%no change

PROJ. WINS5.7of 12 games

PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT

4 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 3% · title 1%

FAN PULSE—0 of 30 scored

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Florida International schedule and results
Wk	Opponent	Result	Line	ATS	Net EPA	Off SR	Def SR	Win prob	Plays	s/play
1	at South Floridaat South Florida	L9–19	+14.5+14.5	W	+0.04	37%	43%	26%	75	35.0
2	BuffaloBuffalo	W33–20	−9−9	W	+0.10	39%	25%	64%	80	25.9
3	at Florida Atlanticat Florida Atlantic	L10–16	+5.5+5.5	L	−0.07	35%	39%	32%	78	30.5
4	Long Island UniversityLong Island University	W20–3	−37.5−37.5	L	+0.27	45%	28%	78%	58	33.9
5	BYE
6	New Mexico StateNew Mexico State	W22–3	−7−7	W	+0.28	38%	34%	94%	66	34.7
7	at Jacksonville Stateat Jacksonville State	L24–27	+3+3	P	+0.08	42%	44%	46%	73	27.9
8	Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee	L23–26	−10.5−10.5	L	−0.15	44%	47%	38%	57	29.4
9	at Libertyat LibertyNEXT	SAT 3:30 CBSSNSAT 3:30	+13.9 proj+13.9	—	—	—	—	20%	—	—
10	Missouri StateMissouri State	NOV 7NOV 7	−7.4 proj−7.4					67%
11	at Delawareat Delaware	NOV 14NOV 14	−2.3 proj−2.3					56%
12	at Kennesaw Stateat Kennesaw State	NOV 21NOV 21	−2.6 proj−2.6					56%
13	Sam HoustonSam Houston	NOV 28NOV 28	−7.5 proj−7.5					68%

Success rate by down & distance

1st100%n 367%n 337%n 17922%n 9

2nd57%n 2336%n 2837%n 8621%n 24

3rd68%n 3444%n 3238%n 2625%n 20

4th55%n 1129%n 70%n 2—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 478 OF 487 PLAYS478 OF 487 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage	Usage	Pass %Pass	EPA/playEPA	SR
Shotgun87%	87%	55%	−0.07	39%
Under center13%	13%	23%	−0.27	38%
No-huddle71%	71%	50%	−0.09	39%
Huddle29%	29%	52%	−0.10	39%

StartersSTARTERS

115 of 7 games122 of 7BASE D4-2-57 of 7

115 of 74-2-5base D · 7 of 7

In shotgun on 87 % of tagged snaps, passing 55 % of the time (−0.07 EPA a play; −0.27 under center). No-huddle on 71 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 7 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (7 of 7).

Next game

SAT 3:30 CBSSN · WILLIAMS STADIUM (VA)SAT 3:30 CBSSN

at LibertyLINE—MODEL+13.9WP20%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from	FOE / G	90% range	Games	Read
C-USA crews−0.4 to +0.4 · 45 games	0.0	−0.4 to +0.4	45	NOISE
American crews— · 3 games	−0.8	—	3	NOISE
ACC crews— · 1 game	+3.6	—	1	NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 1 game	−0.2	—	1	NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 1 game	−0.1	—	1	NOISE
MAC crews— · 1 game	+0.8	—	1	NOISE
SEC crews— · 1 game	−1.9	—	1	NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 1 game	−1.2	—	1	NOISE

FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTReed Brotherton−1.0 / g · 6 games · noise−1.0 / g · 6 g · noise

TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTRodney Burnette+1.0 / g · 5 games · noise+1.0 / g · 5 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Florida International than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Florida International than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

All player stats

QB · #17 · RS-JRJJ Kohl+0.02EPA/dropback · 112thCPOE−5.0aDOT8.4Sack %2.6%RB · #3 · RS-SODevonte Lyons47.0%rush SR · 78thYards per carry4.5Explosive rate7.2%Rush EPA−0.01 WR · #2 · RS-JRMaguire Anderson2.35YPTPA · 42ndTarget share24.7%EPA / target+0.76aDOT11.4 DL · #97 · RS-JRElisha Baldridge9havoc plays · 21stTFL9Sacks3Forced fumbles0

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Florida International offense statistics
MetricStat	Florida InternationalFIU	RankRK	FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play	−0.09	127th	+0.06
Success rate	38.2%	123rd	42.3%
Explosiveness	1.27	86th	1.30
Rush EPA / play	−0.07	134th	+0.07
Pass EPA / play	+0.04	102nd	+0.11
Passing downs SR	31.1%	69th	31.1%
Line yards	2.91	115th	3.21
Sack rate allowed	2.4%	16th	5.3%
3rd-down conversion	46%	31st	41%
Points / opportunity	2.90	134th	4.27
Red zone TD rate	39%	134th	63%
Seconds / play	30.4	112th	28.0