Big 12 · #14 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 5-2
Houston Cougars
HC Willie Fritz (2nd yr) · OC Slade Nagle · DC Austin Armstrong
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (4 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 92%
Power rating11.415th
CFP odds36%—
PLAYOFFIN→BUBBLE
Proj. wins9.5of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored
Big 12 · #14 AP · 6-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 3-4 · O/U 5-2
Houston
Cougars · HC Willie Fritz (2nd yr) · starts in 11 (4 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating11.415th
CFP odds · outlook36%—IN→BUBBLE
Proj. wins9.5of 12
Fan pulse—3 of 30 scored
Houston
#14 · 6-1 · 3-1 Big 12
POWER RATING11.415th in FBS
CFP ODDS36%no change
PROJ. WINS9.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKIN→BUBBLE
1 loss now · CFP 36% in sims · CCG 23% · title 10%
FAN PULSE—3 of 30 scored
RECORD6-1
ATS · O/U3-4 · 5-2
POSTGAME WE · AVG76%5.3 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.2512th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Oregon StateOregon State | W33–20 | −21−21 | L | +0.14 | 47% | 41% | 77% | O 50.5 | — | |
EPA +0.14 · SR 47% · O 50.5WE 77% | |||||||||||
| 2 |  SouthernSouthern | W77–6 | −52−52 | W | +1.70 | 68% | 19% | 100% | O 62 | — | |
EPA +1.70 · SR 68% · O 62WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Texas Techat Texas Tech | L26–28 | +8+8 | W | −0.10 | 53% | 49% | 50% | O 52.5 | — | |
EPA −0.10 · SR 53% · O 52.5WE 50% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Georgia Southernat Georgia Southern | W42–28 | −17.5−17.5 | L | +0.27 | 62% | 48% | 80% | O 56.5 | — | |
EPA +0.27 · SR 62% · O 56.5WE 80% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   UCFUCF | W27–17 | −10.5−10.5 | L | +0.21 | 50% | 29% | 82% | U 51 | — | |
EPA +0.21 · SR 50% · U 51WE 82% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   at Kansas Stateat Kansas State | W35–16 | +2.5+2.5 | W | +0.51 | 51% | 44% | 87% | U 55.5 | — | |
EPA +0.51 · SR 51% · U 55.5WE 87% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   Oklahoma StateOklahoma State | W35–32 | −4−4 | L | +0.15 | 56% | 54% | 60% | O 62.5 | — | |
EPA +0.15 · SR 56% · O 62.5WE 60% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at Utahat UtahNEXT | SAT 10:15 ESPNSAT 10:15 | +6.5+6.5 | — | — | — | — | 39% | 57 | +4.5 | |
MODEL +4.5 · TOTAL 57WP 39% | |||||||||||
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   CincinnatiCincinnati | NOV 7NOV 7 | —−13.3 | 79% | −13.3 | ||||||
MODEL −13.3WP 79% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at Coloradoat Colorado | NOV 13NOV 13 | —−10 | 73% | −10 | ||||||
MODEL −10WP 73% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at West Virginiaat West Virginia | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−16 | 83% | −16 | ||||||
MODEL −16WP 83% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   BaylorBaylor | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−10.5 | 74% | −10.5 | ||||||
MODEL −10.5WP 74% | |||||||||||