MAC · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
Miami (OH) RedHawks
HC Chuck Martin (13th yr) · OC Gus Ragland · DC Bill Brechin
STARTS IN 10 PERSONNEL (3 OF 6) · BASE D 3-4-4 · SHOTGUN 99%
MAC · 4-3 · 2-1 CONF · ATS 4-3 · O/U 5-2
Miami (OH)
RedHawks · HC Chuck Martin (13th yr) · starts in 10 (3 of 6) · base D 3-4-4
Miami (OH)
4-3 · 2-1 MAC
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 20% · title 9%
Latest from the beat
MIAMI (OH) · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Pittsburghat Pittsburgh | L14–59 | +16.5+16.5 | L | −0.58 | 29% | 49% | 1% | 58 | 28.1 | |
| 2 |   Holy CrossHoly Cross | W45–7 | −30.5−30.5 | W | +1.44 | 79% | 26% | 100% | 53 | 36.0 | |
| 3 |   at Cincinnatiat Cincinnati | L31–35 | +14.5+14.5 | W | +0.01 | 39% | 51% | 41% | 56 | 25.6 | |
| 4 |   UConnUConn | W24–21 | −2.5−2.5 | W | +0.08 | 42% | 38% | 61% | 62 | 32.3 | |
| 5 |   Bowling GreenBowling Green | L20–24 | −11.5−11.5 | L | −0.24 | 37% | 50% | 41% | 59 | 32.9 | |
| 6 |   at Massachusettsat Massachusetts | W20–19 | −6−6 | L | −0.01 | 34% | 37% | 50% | 56 | 33.8 | |
| 7 |   AkronAkron | W34–14 | −9.5−9.5 | W | +0.35 | 41% | 34% | 86% | 51 | 35.4 | |
| 8 |   at Central Michiganat Central MichiganNEXT | SAT 1:00 ESPN+SAT 1:00 | −3.5−3.5 | — | — | — | — | 58% | 115 | — | |
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   BuffaloBuffalo | NOV 3NOV 3 | −10.2 proj−10.2 | 73% | |||||||
| 11 |   OhioOhio | NOV 10NOV 10 | −1.3 proj−1.3 | 53% | |||||||
| 12 |   at Kent Stateat Kent State | NOV 17NOV 17 | −6 proj−6 | 64% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Western Michiganat Western Michigan | NOV 24NOV 24 | +5.3 proj+5.3 | 38% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 348 OF 351 PLAYS348 OF 351 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun99% | 99% | 50% | +0.10 | 41% |
| Under center1% | 1% | 50% | −1.26 | 0% |
| No-huddle28% | 28% | 38% | +0.07 | 40% |
| Huddle72% | 72% | 54% | +0.10 | 41% |
In shotgun on 99 % of tagged snaps, passing 50 % of the time (+0.10 EPA a play; −1.26 under center). No-huddle on 28 %. Starts in 10 personnel in 3 of 6 games. Base defense 3-4-4 (4 of 6).
Next game
SAT 1:00 ESPN+ · KELLY/SHORTS STADIUMSAT 1:00 ESPN+
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAC crews−0.4 to +0.4 · 48 games | 0.0 | −0.4 to +0.4 | 48 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 4 games | +0.6 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 2 games | −0.2 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 2 games | +0.5 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 2 games | −0.3 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 1 game | −1.8 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 1 game | 0.0 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 1 game | 0.0 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Miami (OH) than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Miami (OH) than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | Miami (OH)M-OH | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.05 | 72nd | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 38.3% | 121st | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.37 | 19th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.04 | 93rd | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.12 | 65th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 30.1% | 86th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.19 | 76th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 8.0% | 116th | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34% | 108th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 3.94 | 91st | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 57% | 97th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 31.6 | 130th | 28.0 |