rumorAnthony Broome@anthonytbroome
2dMoore is questionable against Indiana on Saturday, per Anthony Broome.
Rod Moore · SCLAIM: QUESTIONABLE✓ MATCHES QUESTIONABLE
Big Ten · 4-2 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 1-5
Michigan Wolverines
HC Kyle Whittingham (1st yr) · OC Jason Beck · DC Jay Hill
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (3 OF 4) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 96%
Power rating6.037th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.7of 12
Fan pulse−9▲6
Big Ten · 4-2 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 1-5
Michigan
Wolverines · HC Kyle Whittingham (1st yr) · starts in 11 (3 of 4) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating6.037th
CFP odds · outlook0%—BUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins6.7of 12
Fan pulse−9▲6
Michigan
4-2 · 1-2 Big Ten
POWER RATING6.037th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS6.7of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
FAN PULSE−9▲6
20 pts below the model ·Coverage →
Latest from the beat
MICHIGAN · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →rumorAnthony Broome@anthonytbroome
2dMoore is questionable against Indiana on Saturday, per Anthony Broome.
Rod Moore · SCLAIM: QUESTIONABLE✓ MATCHES QUESTIONABLE
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Western MichiganWestern Michigan | W13–12 | −27.5−27.5 | L | +0.23 | 43% | 33% | 52% | 47 | 25.3 | |
| 2 |   OklahomaOklahoma | W17–10 | +5+5 | W | +0.19 | 28% | 34% | 70% | 58 | 32.8 | |
| 3 |   UTEPUTEP | W52–17 | −34.5−34.5 | W | +0.69 | 57% | 28% | 98% | 68 | 29.1 | |
| 4 |   IowaIowa | L19–20 | −5−5 | L | +0.06 | 46% | 29% | 51% | 68 | 31.0 | |
| 5 |   at Minnesotaat Minnesota | L14–20 | −6.5−6.5 | L | 0.00 | 37% | 40% | 36% | 49 | 28.4 | |
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   Penn StatePenn State | W21–18 | −6−6 | L | +0.22 | 40% | 40% | 59% | 52 | 31.4 | |
| 8 |   IndianaIndianaNEXT | SAT 12:00 FOXSAT 12:00 | +7.5+7.5 | — | — | — | — | 33% | 117 | — | |
| 9 |   at Rutgersat Rutgers | OCT 31OCT 31 | −8.4 proj−8.4 | 69% | |||||||
| 10 |   Michigan StateMichigan State | NOV 7NOV 7 | −10.4 proj−10.4 | 74% | |||||||
| 11 |   at Oregonat Oregon | NOV 14NOV 14 | +7.9 proj+7.9 | 32% | |||||||
| 12 |   UCLAUCLA | NOV 21NOV 21 | +2.5 proj+2.5 | 44% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Ohio Stateat Ohio State | NOV 28NOV 28 | +17.6 proj+17.6 | 14% |
Success rate by down & distance
1st0%n 133%n 337%n 13114%n 7
2nd74%n 1959%n 2739%n 5132%n 19
3rd59%n 2236%n 1442%n 198%n 12
4th80%n 550%n 2—n 0—n 0
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 331 OF 332 PLAYS331 OF 332 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun96% | 96% | 43% | +0.03 | 41% |
| Under center4% | 4% | 0% | +0.11 | 50% |
| No-huddle17% | 17% | 52% | −0.21 | 36% |
| Huddle83% | 83% | 40% | +0.08 | 43% |
StartersSTARTERS
113 of 4 games121 of 4BASE D4-2-54 of 6
113 of 44-2-5base D · 4 of 6
In shotgun on 96 % of tagged snaps, passing 43 % of the time (+0.03 EPA a play; +0.11 under center). No-huddle on 17 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 3 of 4 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 6).
Next game
SAT 12:00 FOX · MICHIGAN STADIUMSAT 12:00 FOX
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
O
Andrew SpragueOL · JR
OL · top injuryNEXT UPA. Gach
0%TO PLAY
−0.2IMPACT PTS
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
LINE · MODEL · WPIMPACT −0.2 PTS
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Ten crews−0.5 to +0.3 · 51 games | −0.1 | −0.5 to +0.3 | 51 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 4 games | +0.3 | — | 4 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 2 games | +2.7 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 2 games | +0.2 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 2 games | +1.5 | — | 2 | NOISE |
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTChris Coyte−1.9 / g · 4 games · noise−1.9 / g · 4 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTMark Kluczynski+1.3 / g · 5 games · noise+1.3 / g · 5 g · noise
+ = more judgment flags on Michigan than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Michigan than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
QB · #19 · SOBryce Underwood+0.15EPA/dropback · 72ndCPOE+0.1aDOT11.9Sack %5.3%RB · #23 · JRJordan Marshall42.0%rush SR · 152ndYards per carry4.3Explosive rate4.4%Rush EPA+0.08WR · #3 · SOAndrew Marsh2.17YPTPA · 54thTarget share36.2%EPA / target+0.15aDOT11.2EDGE · #90 · SRJohn Henry Daley7havoc plays · 47thTFL7Sacks3Forced fumbles0
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | MichiganMICH | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.04 | 74th | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 41.4% | 75th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.26 | 104th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.07 | 71st | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.11 | 71st | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 32.7% | 35th | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.19 | 77th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 5.8% | 92nd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40% | 68th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 3.69 | 105th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 64% | 68th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 29.6 | 100th | 28.0 |