Big Ten · 2-5 · 0-4 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-5
Michigan State Spartans
HC Pat Fitzgerald (1st yr) · OC Nick Sheridan · DC Joe Rossi
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 7) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 92%
Power rating−2.284th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFOUT→OUT
Proj. wins3.6of 12
Fan pulse−25▼11
Big Ten · 2-5 · 0-4 CONF · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-5
Michigan State
Spartans · HC Pat Fitzgerald (1st yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 7) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating−2.284th
CFP odds · outlook0%—OUT→OUT
Proj. wins3.6of 12
Fan pulse−25▼11
Michigan State
2-5 · 0-4 Big Ten
POWER RATING−2.284th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS3.6of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKOUT→OUT
5 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 0% · title 0%
FAN PULSE−25▼11
14 pts above the model ·Coverage →
RECORD2-5
ATS · O/U4-2 · 2-5
POSTGAME WE · AVG43%3.0 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.0585th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   ToledoToledo | W30–20 | −10−10 | P | +0.09 | 39% | 29% | 65% | O 48.5 | — | |
EPA +0.09 · SR 39% · O 48.5WE 65% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan | W35–7 | −17.5−17.5 | W | +0.38 | 56% | 41% | 96% | U 50 | — | |
EPA +0.38 · SR 56% · U 50WE 96% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Notre Dameat Notre Dame | L10–27 | +29+29 | W | −0.43 | 35% | 52% | 11% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA −0.43 · SR 35% · U 51.5WE 11% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   NebraskaNebraska | L13–31 | +6+6 | L | −0.33 | 47% | 41% | 16% | U 48.5 | — | |
EPA −0.33 · SR 47% · U 48.5WE 16% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   at Wisconsinat Wisconsin | L3–31 | +9+9 | L | −0.64 | 36% | 34% | 3% | U 43.5 | — | |
EPA −0.64 · SR 36% · U 43.5WE 3% | |||||||||||
| 6 |   IllinoisIllinois | L37–38 | +2.5+2.5 | W | +0.17 | 50% | 51% | 63% | O 48.5 | — | |
EPA +0.17 · SR 50% · O 48.5WE 63% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   NorthwesternNorthwestern | L21–24 | +7.5+7.5 | W | −0.08 | 44% | 43% | 44% | U 50.5 | — | |
EPA −0.08 · SR 44% · U 50.5WE 44% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   at UCLAat UCLANEXT | SAT 3:30 CBSSAT 3:30 | +15+15 | — | — | — | — | 16% | 44 | +16.3 | |
MODEL +16.3 · TOTAL 44WP 16% | |||||||||||
| 9 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 10 |   at Michiganat Michigan | NOV 7NOV 7 | —+10.4 | 26% | +10.4 | ||||||
MODEL +10.4WP 26% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   WashingtonWashington | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+1.8 | 46% | +1.8 | ||||||
MODEL +1.8WP 46% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   OregonOregon | NOV 20NOV 20 | —+11.9 | 24% | +11.9 | ||||||
MODEL +11.9WP 24% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Rutgersat Rutgers | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−0.5 | 51% | −0.5 | ||||||
MODEL −0.5WP 51% | |||||||||||