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2026 · THROUGH WK 8

MAC · 5-2 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-3

Ohio Bobcats

HC John Hauser (1st yr) · OC Scott Isphording · DC Kurt Mattix

STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (4 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 100%

Power rating−2.385th
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.3of 12
Fan pulse—2 of 30 scored

MAC · 5-2 · 3-0 CONF · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-3

Ohio

Bobcats · HC John Hauser (1st yr) · starts in 11 (4 of 6) · base D 4-2-5

Power rating−2.385th
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.3of 12
Fan pulse—2 of 30 scored

Ohio

5-2 · 3-0 MAC

POWER RATING−2.385th in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS8.3of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→LONG SHOT

2 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 51% · title 24%

FAN PULSE—2 of 30 scored

Coverage →

Latest from the beat

OHIO · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H

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Schedule & resultsSchedule

POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED

Ohio schedule and results
Wk
Opponent
Result
Line
ATS
Net EPA
Off SR
Def SR
Win prob
Plays
s/play
1at Nebraskaat NebraskaL21–49+24+24L−0.6234%51%2%6527.7
2Jacksonville StateJacksonville StateW29–27−2−2P−0.1442%46%42%6412.0
3at South Alabamaat South AlabamaL36–41+7+7W−0.2447%44%27%6030.0
4StonehillStonehillW35–7−32.5−32.5L+0.7054%17%96%69—
5at Kent Stateat Kent StateW13–10−3.5−3.5L−0.1644%41%58%5436.2
6Central MichiganCentral MichiganW31–14−2.5−2.5W+0.8365%36%83%6727.8
7at Sacramento Stateat Sacramento StateW48–7−17.5−17.5W+0.9156%24%100%6333.8
8Eastern MichiganEastern MichiganNEXTSAT 4:00 ESPNUSAT 4:00−10−10————83%129—
9BYE
10at Akronat AkronNOV 3NOV 3−11.5 proj−11.576%
11at Miami (OH)at Miami (OH)NOV 10NOV 10+1.3 proj+1.347%
12Ball StateBall StateNOV 17NOV 17−13 proj−1378%
13ToledoToledoNOV 27NOV 27+2.5 proj+2.544%

Success rate by down & distance

1st50%n 2—n 046%n 170100%n 2
2nd64%n 2840%n 2545%n 5622%n 18
3rd80%n 3053%n 1729%n 2120%n 10
4th75%n 8—n 00%n 1—n 0

Formation & personnelFormation

PBP TAGS · 385 OF 388 PLAYS385 OF 388 PLAYS TAGGED

Formation splits
LookLook · usage
Usage
Pass %Pass
EPA/playEPA
SR
Shotgun100%100%40%+0.1248%
No-huddle91%91%40%+0.1147%
Huddle9%9%38%+0.2153%
StartersSTARTERS
114 of 6 games122 of 6BASE D4-2-57 of 7
114 of 64-2-5base D · 7 of 7

In shotgun on 100 % of tagged snaps, passing 40 % of the time. No-huddle on 91 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 4 of 6 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (7 of 7).

Next game

SAT 4:00 ESPNU · PEDEN STADIUMSAT 4:00 ESPNU

vs Eastern MichiganLINE−10MODEL−15.6WP83%

Refs

JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026

Judgment flags over expected by crew conference
Crews from
FOE / G
90% range
Games
Read
MAC crews−0.3 to +0.5 · 46 games+0.1−0.3 to +0.546NOISE
Big Ten crews— · 4 games−1.8—4NOISE
American crews— · 3 games+0.6—3NOISE
Big 12 crews— · 2 games−1.4—2NOISE
Mountain West crews— · 2 games+1.7—2NOISE
SEC crews— · 2 games−1.9—2NOISE
Sun Belt crews— · 2 games+0.6—2NOISE
FRIENDLIEST CREWFRIENDLIESTDavid Siegle−1.5 / g · 5 games · noise−1.5 / g · 5 g · noise
TOUGHEST CREWTOUGHESTChris La Mange+2.5 / g · 3 games · noise+2.5 / g · 3 g · noise

+ = more judgment flags on Ohio than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 7 of 8 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 7 of 8 games · + = more on Ohio than expected · no lean before 8 games

Key players

Unit statsEfficiency

OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED

Ohio offense statistics
MetricStat
OhioOHIO
RankRK
FBS avgVS FBS
EPA / play+0.0860th+0.06
Success rate44.7%38th42.3%
Explosiveness1.24112th1.30
Rush EPA / play+0.1333rd+0.07
Pass EPA / play+0.1359th+0.11
Passing downs SR32.1%47th31.1%
Line yards3.822nd3.21
Sack rate allowed5.8%95th5.3%
3rd-down conversion54%8th41%
Points / opportunity4.1876th4.27
Red zone TD rate73%25th63%
Seconds / play31.1121st28.0