ACC · #23 AP · 5-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 1-3 · O/U 2-4
SMU Mustangs
HC Rhett Lashlee (5th yr) · OC — · DC —
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 6) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 94%
Power rating6.532nd
CFP odds6%—
PLAYOFFIN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.5of 12
Fan pulse—4 of 30 scored
ACC · #23 AP · 5-1 · 3-1 CONF · ATS 1-3 · O/U 2-4
SMU
Mustangs · HC Rhett Lashlee (5th yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 6) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating6.532nd
CFP odds · outlook6%—IN→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins8.5of 12
Fan pulse—4 of 30 scored
SMU
#23 · 5-1 · 3-1 ACC
POWER RATING6.532nd in FBS
CFP ODDS6%no change
PROJ. WINS8.5of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKIN→LONG SHOT
1 loss now · CFP 6% in sims · CCG 26% · title 7%
FAN PULSE—4 of 30 scored
RECORD5-1
ATS · O/U1-3 · 2-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG68%4.1 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1035th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   at Florida Stateat Florida State | W27–24 | −3−3 | P | +0.31 | 61% | 37% | 57% | U 53.5 | — | |
EPA +0.31 · SR 61% · U 53.5WE 57% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   UC DavisUC Davis | W56–10 | −32.5−32.5 | W | +1.51 | 75% | 22% | 100% | O 59.5 | — | |
EPA +1.51 · SR 75% · O 59.5WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Louisvilleat Louisville | L31–41 | +3+3 | L | −0.30 | 43% | 52% | 26% | O 57.5 | — | |
EPA −0.30 · SR 43% · O 57.5WE 26% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   Missouri StateMissouri State | W34–24 | −30.5−30.5 | L | +0.24 | 54% | 31% | 72% | U 60.5 | — | |
EPA +0.24 · SR 54% · U 60.5WE 72% | |||||||||||
| 5 |   Boston CollegeBoston College | W25–16 | −21.5−21.5 | L | +0.10 | 37% | 40% | 73% | U 55.5 | — | |
EPA +0.10 · SR 37% · U 55.5WE 73% | |||||||||||
| 6 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 7 |   VirginiaVirginia | W23–13 | −10−10 | P | +0.22 | 46% | 41% | 81% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA +0.22 · SR 46% · U 51.5WE 81% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   CaliforniaCaliforniaNEXT | SAT 12:00 CWSAT 12:00 | −19−19 | — | — | — | — | 84% | 55 | −16.2 | |
MODEL −16.2 · TOTAL 55WP 84% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at Syracuseat Syracuse | OCT 31OCT 31 | —−7.2 | 67% | −7.2 | ||||||
MODEL −7.2WP 67% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   Virginia TechVirginia Tech | NOV 6NOV 6 | —−7.2 | 67% | −7.2 | ||||||
MODEL −7.2WP 67% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   Wake ForestWake Forest | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+4.8 | 39% | +4.8 | ||||||
MODEL +4.8WP 39% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   at Notre Dameat Notre Dame | NOV 21NOV 21 | —+19.4 | 12% | +19.4 | ||||||
MODEL +19.4WP 12% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Stanfordat Stanford | NOV 28NOV 28 | —−15.6 | 83% | −15.6 | ||||||
MODEL −15.6WP 83% | |||||||||||