SEC · #19 AP · 4-2 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 1-5 · O/U 2-4
Texas Longhorns
HC Steve Sarkisian (6th yr) · OC Kyle Flood · DC Will Muschamp
STARTS IN 12 PERSONNEL (3 OF 5) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 89%
Power rating11.217th
CFP odds4%—
PLAYOFFBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.4of 12
Fan pulse—20 of 30 scored
SEC · #19 AP · 4-2 · 1-2 CONF · ATS 1-5 · O/U 2-4
Texas
Longhorns · HC Steve Sarkisian (6th yr) · starts in 12 (3 of 5) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating11.217th
CFP odds · outlook4%—BUBBLE→LONG SHOT
Proj. wins7.4of 12
Fan pulse—20 of 30 scored
Texas
#19 · 4-2 · 1-2 SEC
POWER RATING11.217th in FBS
CFP ODDS4%no change
PROJ. WINS7.4of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKBUBBLE→LONG SHOT
2 losses now · CFP 4% in sims · CCG 4% · title 2%
FAN PULSE—20 of 30 scored
RECORD4-2
ATS · O/U1-5 · 2-4
POSTGAME WE · AVG66%3.9 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY+0.1719th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Texas StateTexas State | W59–7 | −29.5−29.5 | W | +0.68 | 53% | 39% | 100% | O 61 | — | |
EPA +0.68 · SR 53% · O 61WE 100% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   Ohio StateOhio State | W24–23 | −2.5−2.5 | L | −0.03 | 48% | 38% | 54% | U 51 | — | |
EPA −0.03 · SR 48% · U 51WE 54% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   UTSAUTSA | W30–6 | −30−30 | L | +0.42 | 45% | 27% | 97% | U 58.5 | — | |
EPA +0.42 · SR 45% · U 58.5WE 97% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Tennesseeat Tennessee | W20–17 | −5.5−5.5 | L | +0.09 | 36% | 30% | 57% | U 54.5 | — | |
EPA +0.09 · SR 36% · U 54.5WE 57% | |||||||||||
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   vs Oklahoma · Dallasvs Oklahoma | L24–27 | −7.5−7.5 | L | +0.17 | 37% | 36% | 44% | O 40.5 | — | |
EPA +0.17 · SR 37% · O 40.5WE 44% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   FloridaFlorida | L24–27 | −13.5−13.5 | L | −0.23 | 42% | 36% | 42% | U 51.5 | — | |
EPA −0.23 · SR 42% · U 51.5WE 42% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   Ole MissOle MissNEXT | SAT 7:30 ABCSAT 7:30 | −3−3 | — | — | — | — | 53% | 54 | −1.1 | |
MODEL −1.1 · TOTAL 54WP 53% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   Mississippi StateMississippi State | OCT 31OCT 31 | —−7.3 | 67% | −7.3 | ||||||
MODEL −7.3WP 67% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   at Missouriat Missouri | NOV 7NOV 7 | —+1 | 48% | +1 | ||||||
MODEL +1WP 48% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at LSUat LSU | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+9.1 | 29% | +9.1 | ||||||
MODEL +9.1WP 29% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   ArkansasArkansas | NOV 21NOV 21 | —−18.6 | 87% | −18.6 | ||||||
MODEL −18.6WP 87% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Texas A&Mat Texas A&M | NOV 27NOV 27 | —−3.2 | 58% | −3.2 | ||||||
MODEL −3.2WP 58% | |||||||||||