Sun Belt · 3-3 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 1-5
Troy Trojans
HC Gerad Parker (3rd yr) · OC Adam Austin · DC Dontae Wright
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 5) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 96%
Sun Belt · 3-3 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 1-5
Troy
Trojans · HC Gerad Parker (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 5) · base D 4-2-5
Troy
3-3 · 1-1 Sun Belt
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 4% · title 1%
Latest from the beat
TROY · LAST 72 HLAST 72 H
All coverage →No verified updates in the last 72 hours.
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PREGAME WPCLOSING LINES · FUTURE ROWS SHOW PROJECTED LINEFUTURE LINES PROJECTED
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | Win prob | Plays | s/play | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Sam HoustonSam Houston | W24–21 | −16−16 | L | +0.07 | 34% | 47% | 56% | 65 | 27.2 | |
| 2 |   Alabama StateAlabama State | W34–17 | −24−24 | L | +0.43 | 40% | 25% | 84% | 67 | 30.5 | |
| 3 |   at Missouriat Missouri | L17–27 | +27+27 | W | −0.05 | 36% | 32% | 27% | 72 | 32.1 | |
| 4 |   at Utah Stateat Utah State | L10–21 | +3+3 | L | −0.26 | 41% | 42% | 28% | 82 | 26.1 | |
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   Southern MissSouthern Miss | W55–34 | −9.5−9.5 | W | +0.17 | 59% | 48% | 84% | 80 | 31.4 | |
| 7 |   at Louisianaat Louisiana | L6–33 | +3+3 | L | −0.41 | 36% | 49% | 4% | 54 | 27.1 | |
| 8 |   UL MonroeUL MonroeNEXT | SAT 4:00 ESPN+SAT 4:00 | −12−12 | — | — | — | — | 78% | 135 | — | |
| 9 |   at James Madisonat James Madison | OCT 29OCT 29 | +18.4 proj+18.4 | 13% | |||||||
| 10 |   Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech | NOV 7NOV 7 | +4.6 proj+4.6 | 39% | |||||||
| 11 |   at South Alabamaat South Alabama | NOV 14NOV 14 | +3.3 proj+3.3 | 42% | |||||||
| 12 |   Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern | NOV 21NOV 21 | +3.6 proj+3.6 | 41% | |||||||
| 13 |   at Arkansas Stateat Arkansas State | NOV 28NOV 28 | +1.9 proj+1.9 | 45% |
Success rate by down & distance
Formation & personnelFormation
PBP TAGS · 408 OF 410 PLAYS408 OF 410 PLAYS TAGGED
LookLook · usage | Usage | Pass %Pass | EPA/playEPA | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shotgun96% | 96% | 45% | +0.06 | 43% |
| Under center4% | 4% | 47% | −0.79 | 24% |
| No-huddle97% | 97% | 45% | +0.01 | 41% |
| Huddle3% | 3% | 36% | +0.65 | 64% |
In shotgun on 96 % of tagged snaps, passing 45 % of the time (+0.06 EPA a play; −0.79 under center). No-huddle on 97 %. Starts in 11 personnel in 5 of 5 games. Base defense 4-2-5 (4 of 5).
Next game
SAT 4:00 ESPN+ · VETERANS MEMORIAL STADIUM (AL)SAT 4:00 ESPN+
TOP INJURY · OFFICIAL REPORT
% to play = 1 − P(out) · expected return not reported
Refs
JUDGMENT FLAGS OVER EXPECTED · 2026FLAGS OVER EXPECTED / G · 2026
Crews from | FOE / G | 90% range | Games | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Belt crews−0.3 to +0.6 · 44 games | +0.1 | −0.3 to +0.6 | 44 | NOISE |
| Mountain West crews— · 3 games | −0.6 | — | 3 | NOISE |
| ACC crews— · 2 games | +1.6 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| C-USA crews— · 2 games | −0.8 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| MAC crews— · 2 games | −0.9 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| SEC crews— · 2 games | −1.2 | — | 2 | NOISE |
| American crews— · 1 game | −3.1 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Big 12 crews— · 1 game | −1.3 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Big Ten crews— · 1 game | −1.5 | — | 1 | NOISE |
| Pac-12 crews— · 1 game | +0.1 | — | 1 | NOISE |
+ = more judgment flags on Troy than expected · 2026 only: crews known for 6 of 7 games · no lean before 8 gamesJudgment flags only, 2026 · crews known for 6 of 7 games · + = more on Troy than expected · no lean before 8 games
Key players
Unit statsEfficiency
OPP-ADJUSTED · RANK OF 138 FBSFBS RANK · OPP-ADJUSTED
MetricStat | TroyTROY | RankRK | FBS avgVS FBS |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.03 | 83rd | +0.06 |
| Success rate | 42.0% | 68th | 42.3% |
| Explosiveness | 1.26 | 98th | 1.30 |
| Rush EPA / play | +0.11 | 45th | +0.07 |
| Pass EPA / play | +0.02 | 113th | +0.11 |
| Passing downs SR | 29.4% | 101st | 31.1% |
| Line yards | 3.24 | 66th | 3.21 |
| Sack rate allowed | 4.4% | 53rd | 5.3% |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37% | 96th | 41% |
| Points / opportunity | 3.50 | 119th | 4.27 |
| Red zone TD rate | 61% | 80th | 63% |
| Seconds / play | 29.4 | 98th | 28.0 |