Sun Belt · 3-3 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 1-5
Troy Trojans
HC Gerad Parker (3rd yr) · OC Adam Austin · DC Dontae Wright
STARTS IN 11 PERSONNEL (5 OF 5) · BASE D 4-2-5 · SHOTGUN 96%
Power rating−5.9101st
CFP odds0%—
PLAYOFFNEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.6of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
Sun Belt · 3-3 · 1-1 CONF · ATS 2-4 · O/U 1-5
Troy
Trojans · HC Gerad Parker (3rd yr) · starts in 11 (5 of 5) · base D 4-2-5
Power rating−5.9101st
CFP odds · outlook0%—NEEDS TITLE→OUT
Proj. wins5.6of 12
Fan pulse—1 of 30 scored
Troy
3-3 · 1-1 Sun Belt
POWER RATING−5.9101st in FBS
CFP ODDS0%no change
PROJ. WINS5.6of 12 games
PLAYOFF OUTLOOKNEEDS TITLE→OUT
3 losses now · CFP 0% in sims · CCG 4% · title 1%
FAN PULSE—1 of 30 scored
RECORD3-3
ATS · O/U2-4 · 1-5
POSTGAME WE · AVG47%2.8 expected wins
NET EPA / PLAY−0.1096th FBS
Schedule & resultsSchedule
POSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS) · FUTURE ROWS: PREGAME WP + MODEL LINEPOSTGAME WE = HOW OFTEN THIS BOX SCORE WINS (10K SIMS)POSTGAME WE · 10K SIMS
Wk | Opponent | Result | Line | ATS | Net EPA | Off SR | Def SR | WP · post / pre | O/U | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |   Sam HoustonSam Houston | W24–21 | −16−16 | L | +0.07 | 34% | 47% | 56% | U 53 | — | |
EPA +0.07 · SR 34% · U 53WE 56% | |||||||||||
| 2 |   Alabama StateAlabama State | W34–17 | −24−24 | L | +0.43 | 40% | 25% | 84% | U 52.5 | — | |
EPA +0.43 · SR 40% · U 52.5WE 84% | |||||||||||
| 3 |   at Missouriat Missouri | L17–27 | +27+27 | W | −0.05 | 36% | 32% | 27% | U 50 | — | |
EPA −0.05 · SR 36% · U 50WE 27% | |||||||||||
| 4 |   at Utah Stateat Utah State | L10–21 | +3+3 | L | −0.26 | 41% | 42% | 28% | U 47.5 | — | |
EPA −0.26 · SR 41% · U 47.5WE 28% | |||||||||||
| 5 | BYE | ||||||||||
| 6 |   Southern MissSouthern Miss | W55–34 | −9.5−9.5 | W | +0.17 | 59% | 48% | 84% | O 51.5 | — | |
EPA +0.17 · SR 59% · O 51.5WE 84% | |||||||||||
| 7 |   at Louisianaat Louisiana | L6–33 | +3+3 | L | −0.41 | 36% | 49% | 4% | U 49.5 | — | |
EPA −0.41 · SR 36% · U 49.5WE 4% | |||||||||||
| 8 |   UL MonroeUL MonroeNEXT | SAT 4:00 ESPN+SAT 4:00 | −12−12 | — | — | — | — | 78% | 50.5 | −12.5 | |
MODEL −12.5 · TOTAL 50.5WP 78% | |||||||||||
| 9 |   at James Madisonat James Madison | OCT 29OCT 29 | —+18.4 | 13% | +18.4 | ||||||
MODEL +18.4WP 13% | |||||||||||
| 10 |   Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech | NOV 7NOV 7 | —+4.6 | 39% | +4.6 | ||||||
MODEL +4.6WP 39% | |||||||||||
| 11 |   at South Alabamaat South Alabama | NOV 14NOV 14 | —+3.3 | 42% | +3.3 | ||||||
MODEL +3.3WP 42% | |||||||||||
| 12 |   Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern | NOV 21NOV 21 | —+3.6 | 41% | +3.6 | ||||||
MODEL +3.6WP 41% | |||||||||||
| 13 |   at Arkansas Stateat Arkansas State | NOV 28NOV 28 | —+1.9 | 45% | +1.9 | ||||||
MODEL +1.9WP 45% | |||||||||||